Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $41 today · $6.4K traded · $2.9K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

40%Yair Lapid
  • Yair Lapid40%▼ 10
  • Naftali Bennett5%▲ 1
  • Gadi Eisenkot4%▲ 1
  • Yossi Cohen3%▲ 1
  • Avigdor Lieberman3%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu3%
  • Chili Tropper3%
  • Gideon Sa'ar3%▲ 1
  • Amir Ohana2%▲ 1
  • Einat Wilf2%▼ 1
  • Yoram Cohen2%
  • Benny Gantz2%
4 more
  • Ron Dermer2%
  • Yair Golan2%
  • Eli Cohen1%
  • Israel Katz1%

How the odds have moved

Yair Lapid: 22% on Oct 19, 40% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 5, 10 PM ETYair Lapid: 23% → 57%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 29, 11 PM ETYair Lapid: 29% → 21%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yair Lapid 40% ▼ 10 36¢ 43¢ $2.33 10.4K
Naftali Bennett 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 394
Gadi Eisenkot 4% ▲ 1 7¢ $14.29 6.1K
Yossi Cohen 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67 4.7K
Avigdor Lieberman 3% 5¢ $20.00
Benjamin Netanyahu 3% 5¢ $20.00 54.2K
Chili Tropper 3% 5¢ $20.00 3.7K
Gideon Sa'ar 3% ▲ 1 5¢ $20.00 658
Amir Ohana 2% ▲ 1 4¢ $25.00 349
Einat Wilf 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 7.1K
Yoram Cohen 2% 4¢ $25.00 3.1K
Benny Gantz 2% 3¢ $33.33 7.9K
Ron Dermer 2% 3¢ $33.33 2.0K
Yair Golan 2% 3¢ $33.33 4.8K
Eli Cohen 1% 2¢ $50.00
Israel Katz 1% 2¢ $50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Gadi Eisenkot

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions