Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $1.2K traded · $922 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

6%Simcha Rothman
  • Simcha Rothman6%
  • Amir Ohana5%
  • Ayelet Shaked5%
  • Gilad Kariv5%
  • Tally Gotliv5%
  • Yariv Levin5%
  • Chili Tropper4%
  • Efrat Rayten4%
  • Gideon Sa'ar4%
  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen3%
  • Oded Forer2%
  • Bezalel Smotrich1%
3 more
  • Karine Elharrar1%
  • Moshe Saada1%
  • Ofir Katz1%

How the odds have moved

Simcha Rothman: 3% on Oct 21, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Simcha Rothman 6% $16.67 1.1K
Amir Ohana 5% 94¢ $1.06 901
Ayelet Shaked 5% 99¢ $1.01 3.9K
Gilad Kariv 5% 94¢ $1.06 961
Tally Gotliv 5% $20.00 1.4K
Yariv Levin 5% 24¢ $4.17 2.9K
Chili Tropper 4% 98¢ $1.02 6.2K
Efrat Rayten 4% 94¢ $1.06 1.0K
Gideon Sa'ar 4% 94¢ $1.06 901
Orit Farkash-Hacohen 3% 33¢ $3.03 1.3K
Oded Forer 2% 3¢ $33.33 4.7K
Bezalel Smotrich 1% 2¢ $50.00 4.5K
Karine Elharrar 1% 2¢ $50.00 5.4K
Moshe Saada 1% 2¢ $50.00 3.9K
Ofir Katz 1% 2¢ $50.00 6.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Simcha Rothman, Amir Ohana, Ayelet Shaked

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions