Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Brothers of Italy
53%
▲ 1
51¢
59¢
$1.69
697
Democratic Party
37%
▲ 1
36¢
41¢
$2.44
5.0K
Five Star Movement
4%
0¢
7¢
$13.51
22.00
Forza Italia
4%
0¢
7¢
$13.89
1.6K
Lega
3%
0¢
5¢
$19.23
37.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Italian Chamber of Deputies, Democratic Party, Five Star Movement
Lawmakers react to Democratic Party winsCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Lawmakers react to Democratic Party wins Michigan voters considered two ballot proposals on Nov. 3 Highland Park mayor-elect looks forward to role Republicans reflecting after election losses Looking at Democratic wins Police say…
World reacts to Democratic Party's midterm election winsCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News World reacts to Democratic Party's midterm election wins Georgia ranked 2nd in College Football Playoff rankings Atlanta groups pushing to dispose e-waste properly Former Atlanta Mayor Bill Campbell on the significance of Bottoms'…
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand on the Democratic Party's agenda for the next CongressNPR · 5 days agoNPR Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand on the Democratic Party's agenda for the next Congress NPR's A Martinez talks with Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York about Democrats' priorities and strategies now that the party has won back…
Socialists gain ground as DSA expands Democratic Party influenceFox News · 5 days agoFox News Socialists gain ground as DSA expands Democratic Party influence A 'Fox News @ Night' panel examines Democratic gains in California and nationwide, debating socialism’s growing appeal among younger voters and the challenges facing…
What's the future of the Democratic party in Texas, amid historic midterm wins?NPR · 5 days agoNPR What's the future of the Democratic party in Texas, amid historic midterm wins? NPR's Ailsa Chang talks with former Texas state Sen. Wendy Davis, a Democrat, about Texas flipping blue and what it means for future elections. NPR does…
Emily Compagno: We are seeing the two faces of the Democratic PartyFox News · 5 days agoFox News Emily Compagno: We are seeing the two faces of the Democratic Party ‘The Five’ co-hosts preview how the Trump administration will get along with a Democratic congressional majority.
Professors, US Congressman weigh in on what's next for the Democratic PartyCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 6:50 PM PST / CBS San Francisco After the political bloodbath the Republicans took in Tuesday's midterm election, the next day President Trump seemed to take it all in stride. "I'll get along, probably, with the…
What Tuesday's wins by progressive candidates means for the Democratic PartyNPR · 6 days agoNPR What Tuesday's wins by progressive candidates means for the Democratic Party NPR's Steve Inskeep talks with Morris Katz, a progressive political consultant, about Tuesday's election results. NPR does not offer or accept money for…
Radical socialist wing's huge night reveals ascending clout within Democratic PartyFox News · 6 days agoSilicon Valley tech pioneer Allison Huynh discusses the Democratic Socialists of America endorsing congressional candidates and warns about the far-left attempting to seize control of the Democratic Party. Democratic Socialists of America…
Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro speaks on the future of the Democratic PartyNBC News · 6 days agoDemocratic Governor Josh Shapiro discusses his reelection win in Pennsylvania and outlines the Democratic Party’s future as it is projected to gain full control of Congress following victories in both the House and Senate during the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions