Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? (Before Dec 22, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 22, 2028 · $1 today · $1.5K traded · $792 at stake · prices read 87 min ago

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The odds

38%Giorgia Meloni
  • Giorgia Meloni38%
  • Elly Schlein22%
  • Giuseppe Conte16%
  • Roberto Vannacci7%
  • Silvia Salis3%▼ 1
  • Gaetano Manfredi3%
  • Paolo Gentiloni2%▼ 1
  • Roberto Gualtieri2%▼ 1
  • Antonio Decaro2%▼ 1
  • Ernesto Maria Ruffini2%▼ 1
  • Antonio Tajani2%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Giorgia Meloni: 29% on Oct 20, 38% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Giorgia Meloni 38% 36¢ 46¢ $2.17 2.1K
Elly Schlein 22% 18¢ 28¢ $3.57 996
Giuseppe Conte 16% 12¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.3K
Roberto Vannacci 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 600
Silvia Salis 3% ▼ 1 7¢ $14.29 893
Gaetano Manfredi 3% 6¢ $16.67 692
Paolo Gentiloni 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 698
Roberto Gualtieri 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 2.1K
Antonio Decaro 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 653
Ernesto Maria Ruffini 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 691
Antonio Tajani 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00 688

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Italy, Giorgia Meloni, Elly Schlein

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  • Giorgia Meloni exit tax.citizenfreepress.com · 6 days agoThe Greatest News Site On The Internet. Home of CFP Nation. Go To Article -- reason.com Posted by Kane on November 3, 2026 1:52 pmNEWS JUNKIES -- CHECK OUT OUR HOMEPAGE
  • Giorgia Meloni threatens to remove right to citizenship from rioting teensThe Observer · 9 days agoAutumn sale Get 60% offAutumn saleGet 60% off Sunday 1 November 2026 Teenagers born and raised in Italy to immigrant parents could be denied citizenship for offences linked to the unrest in northern cities earlier this month, under…
  • "I like him, he's a good person, but he wasn't with us" - Donald Trump attacks Giorgia Meloni from TurkeyVox News · 10 days agoUnited States President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he likes Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, but criticized her for her stance during the conflict with Iran. "I like him, he's a good person, but he wasn't with us on Iran,"…
  • In Italy, Giorgia Meloni Is Hardening Her Calls for OrderJacobin · 11 days agoRecent protests in northern Italy draw inspiration from France but also reflect grievances over poverty wages and an out-of-touch government. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s only answer is to demonize the protests, ignoring the discontent…
  • Radical-right youth groups are at the root of Europe’s populist surgethe Guardian · 8 days agoFrom France’s Jordan Bardella to Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, organised youth politics has produced many rightwing leaders. Democrats must catch up As Italy’s prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, another former radical right youth-wing leader, put…
  • “Europe Is Not Lost”: Giorgia Meloni’s Blunt Messagefreerepublic.com · 11 days agoItalian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni delivers a forceful message about Western identity, conservative values and the future of Europe at CPAC 2025. Defining the West through Greek philosophy, Roman law and Christian values, Meloni argues…
  • How the EU can resist the divisive influence of the far rightthe Guardian · 7 days agoThomas Laffitte on the threats facing the European Union and Giorgio Re on why the strongest defence must come from the democratic right and centre-right Your editorial rightly highlights the European far right’s maturing plans for…
  • Italy: right, far right and even further rightLe Monde diplomatique · 7 days agoFor Roberto Vannacci, Giorgia Meloni’s government is too timid With elections due next year, Giorgia Meloni’s far-right government risks being outflanked by Roberto Vannacci’s National Future party, which is pushing hard for ‘remigration’…
  • Indians in France and Italy asked to follow Embassy advisories amid protests: MEAthehansindia.com · 7 days agoMinistry of External Affairs (MEA) New Delhi: The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) on Tuesday advised Indian nationals in France and Italy, including students, to follow the advisories issued by embassies and the local authorities amid…
  • Italy Plans Restitution LegislationARTnews.com · 6 days agoItaly is joining its neighboring countries Germany, Austria, France, the Netherlands, the UK and Switzerland in establishing its own restitution laws. Italy is joining other European countries, including Germany, Austria, France, the…
  • Xi Jinping's Purge Deepens: China's Fifth Plenum Confirms Record 33 ExpulsionsLawstreet.co · 7 days agoThe fifth plenary session of the 20th Central Committee met behind closed doors in Beijing from October 26 to 29, 2026. According to official reporting, the session was attended by 162 full members and 117 alternate members, a total of…
  • Protests In France & Italy Prompt India To Warn Nationals Against Crowded Areas & GatheringsFree Press Journal · 7 days agoNew Delhi, Nov 3: The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) on Tuesday advised Indian nationals in France and Italy, including students, to follow the advisories issued by embassies and the local authorities amid the ongoing protests in…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions