Italian Senate election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 30, 2028 · $265 traded · $171 at stake · prices read 7 min ago

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The odds

54%Brothers of Italy
  • Brothers of Italy54%▲ 1
  • Democratic Party38%▲ 1
  • Five Star Movement3%
  • Lega2%
  • Forza Italia2%

How the odds have moved

Brothers of Italy: 54% on Oct 19, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Brothers of Italy 54% ▲ 1 54¢ 59¢ $1.69 427
Democratic Party 38% ▲ 1 36¢ 44¢ $2.27 52.00
Five Star Movement 3% 0¢ 7¢ $14.49 1.00
Lega 2% 0¢ 5¢ $20.00 42.00
Forza Italia 2% 0¢ 5¢ $20.00 56.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Italian Senate, Democratic Party, Five Star Movement

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions