Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $225 today · $4.3K traded · $1.4K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

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The odds

55%Helen Zille
  • Helen Zille55%▼ 10
  • David Makhura15%
  • Frank Chikane5%▲ 2
  • Loyiso Masuku5%
  • Herman Mashaba3%
  • Kenny Kunene2%

How the odds have moved

Helen Zille: 54% on Oct 20, 55% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 9 PM ETHelen Zille: 68% → 55%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Helen Zille 55% ▼ 10 53¢ 57¢ $1.75 6.7K
David Makhura 15% 15¢ $6.67 2.0K
Frank Chikane 5% ▲ 2 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 5.9K
Loyiso Masuku 5% 9¢ $11.11 845
Herman Mashaba 3% 43¢ $2.33 843
Kenny Kunene 2% 4¢ $25.00 240

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mayor of Johannesburg, Helen Zille, David Makhura

Search ›
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  • Helen Zille does it again with petty pothole ploy [video]The South African · 19 days agoHas Helen Zille lost the plot over potholes? Take a look at the 75-year-old’s latest PR ploy in her mayoral campaign… Helen Zille has pulled another PR stunt involving a pothole in her quirky campaign to run for Johannesburg mayor. This…
  • South Africa: Helen Zille is the most popular politician in Joburg. But will she be the mayor?The Africa Report · 20 days agoStreet spinning and drag racing are usually the preserve of South Africa’s petrolheads and township crowds, hardly the typical campaign activities of a 75-year-old former Western Cape premier. But Helen Zille has embraced both in her…
  • Factbox-Battleground metros to watch in South Africa’s municipal electionsfreedom959.net · 15 days agoJOHANNESBURG, Oct 26 (Reuters) – South Africans vote in municipal elections on November 4 amid voter frustration over poor service delivery, unstable local government coalitions and rising costs. Held every five years, the elections will…
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  • LGE 2026: Get to know Cape Town mayoral candiatesEWN · 15 days ago26 October 2026 08:51 Who should be the next James Bond? Three actors are in contention 26 October 2026 08:49 Ramaphosa approves deployment of 510 soldiers to KZN At 34, Geordin Hill-Lewis became Cape Town's youngest-ever mayor in November…
  • Helen Zille outlines plan to fix Johannesburg's finances and water crisisEWN · 20 days ago21 October 2026 08:03 Father of AKA flags possible discrepancies in police docket linked to Anele Tembe's death 21 October 2026 07:55 21 October 2026 07:44 Helen Zille, DA mayoral candidate for Johannesburg, says the city needs a financial…
  • ANC officials to decide Joburg mayoral candidate, not region – MbalulaNews24 · 19 days agoANC secretary-general Fikile Mbalula has reiterated that the party’s national office bearers will decide who becomes its candidate for Johannesburg mayor after the 4 November local government elections, dismissing suggestions that regional…
  • Julius Malema takes swipe at Helen Zille over ‘Gusheshe’ spinningThe South African · 22 days agoHome » News » Elections - Local, National and Municipal » Julius Malema takes swipe at Helen Zille over ‘Gusheshe’ spinning EFF leader Julius Malema has taken a swipe at Democratic Alliance (DA) mayoral candidate Helen Zille after she…
  • Johannesburg, Durban and beyond: The councils where coalitions could get messyEWN · 19 days ago22 October 2026 06:36 Soweto school teacher accused of raping 9-year-old expected to appear in court 22 October 2026 06:21 Sundowns treat Williete SC clash as a final in CAF Champions League battle South Africa heads to the polls on 4…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions