Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? (Before 2029)
40%chance▼ 1
Install
Will Meta's $25 billion New Mexico penalty be cut on appeal? (Before 2032)
The odds
73%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 75% on Oct 27, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73% | ▲ 1 | 70¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 78.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico, Meta
Search ›- New Mexico State at Gonzaga Open ThreadYahoo Sports Wemby delivers historic statline vs. Mavs Saturday, Nov. 7, at 2:00 p.m. PT on KHQ Idaho at Gonzaga Open Thread Izan Almansa is making it harder for Gonzaga to keep him off the floor Bulldog Business: Gonzaga Beats Purdue in…
- Satellite pics show flood devastation in Colorado, New MexicoThe Weather Channel Before and after: Satellite images show Southwest flood destruction Satellite images show Pagosa Springs, Colorado, and Farmington and Flora Vista, New Mexico, before and after flooding from the San Juan and Animas…
- New Mexico Governor resultsLive results for the 2026 New Mexico Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Mexico Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for…
- New Mexico election resultsLive results for New Mexico in the 2026 midterm election. Track U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor races with real-time vote counts and maps from AP. New Mexico election results AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results…
- New Mexico U.S. Senate resultsNew Mexico U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026 AP News New Mexico U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election…
- Once in the shadow of basketball, New Mexico football jumps into the AP Top 25 for the first timeThe Washington Post The University of New Mexico’s football team is making headlines by cracking the AP Top 25 for the first time, coming in at No. 22 For decades, the modestly sized but fervently loyal crew of University of New Mexico…
- 2026 New Mexico Midterm Election ResultsAP News New Mexico election results AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Deb Haaland wins in New Mexico and will become first female Native American governorDemocratic candidate defeated Republican Gregg Hull, businessman and longtime mayor of Rio Rancho US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Deb Haaland, the former interior secretary under Joe Biden, has…
- Southern Utah visits New Mexico State following Tomasicka's 24-point gameSouthern Utah Thunderbirds (1-0) at New Mexico State Aggies (0-1) Las Cruces, New Mexico; Friday, 1 p.m. EST BOTTOM LINE: New Mexico State hosts Southern Utah after Raina Tomasicka scored 24 points in New Mexico State's 61-56 loss to the…
- New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction: The Lobos Pushing For the PlayoffNew Mexico (7-1) hosts UNLV, goes to Wyoming, and closes against Air Force. Nevada (3-5) goes to Northern Illinois next week before hosting Hawaii and finishing at UNLV. New Mexico won 24-22 last year, but Nevada won the previous three and…
Related markets
All supreme court & courts ›Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment? (Before 2028)
10%chance
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional? (Before 2028)
11%chance
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
12%December 31
- June 30, 202712%▲ 1
- December 3112%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
7%Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists
- Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists7%▼ 1
- Republican National Committee v. Eakin6%▼ 2
- Duncan v. Bonta6%
5 more
- Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche4%
- Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory4%▼ 1
- Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice3%
- Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day3%
- Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States2%
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Jan 20, 2029)
75%6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals75%▲ 6
- Not nine justices16%▼ 1
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals9%
2 more
- 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals1%
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions