Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment? (Before 2028)
10%chance
Install
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional? (Before 2028)
The odds
11%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 19, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: False Claims Act, Circuit
Search ›- DOJ and HHS Launch Healthcare False Claims Act Self-Disclosure Pilot ProgramOn Oct. 22, 2026, DOJ’s Civil Division, in partnership with HHS, announced the Healthcare False Claims Act Self-Disclosure Pilot Program, “which is designed to give healthcare companies a way to quickly resolve past misconduct” by…
- Which 2028 hopeful won the midterm circuit? | CNN PoliticsThe results from the 2026 midterm elections could reveal which Democratic presidential contenders have made the biggest impression on their party. From California Gov. Gavin Newsom, to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, CNN’s David Wright…
- 9th Circuit block on California noncitizen voter probe lifted, then restored in legal boomerangActing Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter discusses federal subpoenas issued to California election workers, a dispute over more than 20,000 flagged mail-in ballots and the Justice Department's possible Supreme Court appeal ahead of…
- A generalized model predictive fault-tolerant control strategy for hybrid multilevel converter under arbitrary open-circuit failuresTherefore, this paper proposes a step-by-step FT method based on MPC (FT-MPC) to address global faults. The main contributions of this paper are as follows. This work introduces a mathematically rigorous fault modeling framework centered…
- Blazin Jetolena Offspring Deliver Dominant Showing at 2 Circuit FinalsOne of the key factors in professional barrel racing is the horsepower. Proven, elite-level rodeo horses do not come cheap, because they are hard to find. From the bloodlines that give them a genetic "leg-up" to the athleticism and grit…
- 10th Judicial Circuit JudgeWEEK | 25 News Now 10th Judicial Circuit Judge Murder victim’s cellphone video used as evidence in Peoria man’s detention hearing Voice of SpongeBob SquarePants talks upcoming Peoria appearance Coroner identifies 2 people found dead in…
- Settlement follows claims Food Lion parent inflated drug prices billed to federal programsNorth Carolina will receive more than $500,000 as part of a $40 million multistate settlement resolving allegations that the parent company of Food Lion and several other supermarket chains overcharged federal health care programs for…
- Natrona County Circuit Court initial appearances (11/2/26)CASPER, Wyo. — Provided below are the defendants and charges from appearances in Natrona County Circuit Court on Monday. The Honorable Seventh Judicial Circuit Court Judge Cynthia Sweet presided while Assistant District Attorney Brian…
- NBCC to develop Haldighati tourist circuitIn a significant initiative to preserve, celebrate and showcase India’s rich historical and cultural heritage, National Buildings Construction Corporation Limited (NBCC) is undertaking the development of the Maharana Pratap Tourist Circuit…
- Your SPRS Score Is a Statement to the Government: Lessons From the Honeywell SettlementIf your company holds a Department of Defense contract with DFARS 252.204-7012 in it, you've likely... Tagged with security, cybersecurity, infosec. If your company holds a Department of Defense contract with DFARS 252.204-7012 in it…
- 51st Circuit Court sentences, published Nov. 3, 2026HART — The following were sentenced recently in Oceana County’s 51st Circuit Court: Jason Garth Spoelhof, 28, pleaded guilty July 6 to firearms possession by a prohibited person and was sentenced Oct. 26 to one year in jail with credit for…
- Ninth Circuit Will Reconsider DOJ’s Election Worker Threats CaseBloomberg Law News A panel of 11 judges on the country’s largest federal appeals court will convene to determine whether the Trump administration can threaten criminal prosecutions against election workers as they count ballots for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions