Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment? (Before 2028)
10%chance
Install
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? (Before 2029)
The odds
41%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 34% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 7.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court, SCOTUS
Search ›- The Supreme Court could be poised to hobble the Trump resistanceThe Supreme Court’s decision to weigh nationwide injunctions could dramatically impact how Trump’s policies are applied across the country. The high court will hear arguments on nationwide injunctions in a special session on May 15. | J…
- South Carolina asks Supreme Court to allow anti-transgender school bathroom policyThe emergency appeal is the latest in a series of cases involving transgender issues to come before the high court. South Carolina is asking the Supreme Court to allow the state to enforce a ban on transgender students in public schools…
- Texas Supreme Court halts deposition in transgender mailers caseCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Texas Supreme Court halts…
- Colorado Supreme Court rules Amendment 87 will stay on ballot, votes will countUpdated on: October 30, 2026 / 1:27 PM MDT / CBS Colorado The Colorado Supreme Court has rejected a lawsuit that attempted to throw out voter signatures that put Amendment 87 on the ballot. Instead, the justices ruled that Amendment 87…
- Texas Supreme Court steps into trans mailers case, halting depositionUpdated on: October 30, 2026 / 2:13 PM CDT / CBS Texas The fight to find out who sent the transgender mailers to homes across the state hit a speedbump Friday when the Supreme Court of Texas issued an order pausing the deposition scheduled…
- Georgia Supreme Court denies Colt Gray's request to appeal in Apalachee shooting caseOctober 30, 2026 / 9:26 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta The Georgia Supreme Court has denied Colt Gray's request to pursue an appeal in the Apalachee High School shooting case, according to court records. The court's Oct. 8 order rejected his…
- Supreme Court denies South Carolina’s emergency request to enforce anti-transgender school bathroom policyThe justices, in an apparent 6-3 vote, said the decision was not a ruling on the merits of the case. 09/10/2025 5:45 PM EDT The Supreme Court has declined South Carolina’s request for an emergency order allowing the state to enforce a law…
- Colorado mom says kids denied $12K in preschool aid over Catholic faith as Supreme Court showdown loomsErika Nagle tells Fox News Digital that two of her children were denied thousands in preschool benefits because of their Catholic school choice, as the Supreme Court prepares to hear arguments Tuesday. A Colorado mother of three says her…
- Supreme Court Battle: Non-Citizen Voting!READ: https://www.judicialwatch.org/judicial-watch-and-allied-educational-foundation-ask-supreme-court-to-defend-arizonas-authority-to-verify-voter-citizenship/ Judicial Watch announced it filed an amici curiae (friends of the court) brief…
- Parents of Sandy Hook victims ask Supreme Court to uphold assault-rifle banBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The…
- Supreme Court of India Foundation DayThe Supreme Court (SC) of India, established on 26th January 1950 under Article 124, was inaugurated on 28th January 1950 and began operations from the old Parliament House. It moved to its current building in 1958, inaugurated by…
- Gun-Control Groups Ask Supreme Court To Reverse Landmark RulingTwo gun-control organizations called on the Supreme Court to use a case challenging laws banning modern semiautomatic firearms as an opportunity to overturn the court’s landmark Heller ruling. “Heller and its progeny are egregiously flawed…
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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Jan 20, 2029)
75%6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions