Kentucky coal production in 2027

Kalshi Economy Closes Apr 30, 2028 · $33.2K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

23.1median

1832

Median 23.1Middle half 21.4 – 25.4

How the odds have moved

Median: 23.4 on Oct 7, 23.1 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 20 million short tons	87%	86¢	87¢	$1.15	14.0K
Above 22 million short tons	70%	69¢	70¢	$1.43	21.3K
Above 24 million short tons	36%	35¢	36¢	$2.78	9.7K
Above 26 million short tons	21%	20¢	21¢	$4.76	8.7K
Above 28 million short tons	8%	7¢	8¢	$12.50	14.8K
Above 30 million short tons	5%	4¢	5¢	$20.00	631

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Kentucky

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Kentucky WBB dominates N. Kentucky with strong defenseYahoo Sports · 4 days agoThe Kentucky Wildcats women's basketball team rolled over Morehead State in their first game of the season. On Thursday, they played another in-state school, Northern Kentucky, and it ended with a similar result. The Wildcats dominated the…
Kentucky Wildcats News: Tennessee GamedayYahoo Sports · 3 days agoThe Kentucky Wildcats are headed to Knoxville for a massive SEC showdown against the Tennessee Volunteers, with College Football Playoff implications on the line. Will Stein's Wildcats enter the matchup at 7-1, riding a six-game winning…
Eastern Kentucky defeats Midway 106-68The Washington Post · 3 days agoThe Washington Post RICHMOND, Ky. — Jackson Holt had 17 points in Eastern Kentucky’s 106-68 win against Midway on Friday. Holt went 6 of 10 from the field (5 for 9 from 3-point range) for the Colonels (2-0). Yvens Paul scored 15 points and…
Tennessee-Kentucky game day injury reportYahoo Sports · 3 days agoNo. 16 Tennessee (6-2, 3-2 SEC) will host No. 7 Kentucky (7-1, 5-1 SEC) on Saturday in Week 10. Rankings reflect the US LBM Coaches Poll. Kickoff between the Vols and the Wildcats is slated for 6:15 p.m. EST at Neyland Stadium (ESPN)…
How to watch: Tennessee vs. KentuckyYahoo Sports · 3 days agoBoth Tennessee and Kentucky are fresh off of a bye and ready for a showdown. Kentucky, sitting at 7-1 and No. 6 in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, has danced out of trouble time and time again this season. Those late game…
Boone scores 21 points, No. 14 Kentucky women coast past Northern Kentucky 79-28The Washington Post · 4 days agoThe Washington Post LEXINGTON, Ky. — Asia Boone hit five 3-pointers and scored 21 points; Clara Strack had a double-double, and No. 14 Kentucky dominated Northern Kentucky 79-28 on Thursday night. Strack had 11 points and 10 rebounds, plus…
Tennessee-Kentucky football game score predictionsYahoo Sports · 3 days agoNo. 16 Tennessee (6-2, 3-2 SEC) will host a top-25 matchup on Saturday in Week 10. The Vols will face No. 7 Kentucky (7-1, 5-1 SEC) at Neyland Stadium. Rankings reflect the US LBM Coaches Poll. Kickoff between the Vols and the Wildcats is…
Kentucky U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Kentucky U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
Takeaways from Kentucky basketball's 89-80 win against JMUKentucky Wildcats On SI · 3 days agoSports Illustrated The Kentucky Wildcats were back in action on Friday night after cruising to an 85-57 win in the season-opener on Tuesday against Manhattan, a game where the offense really found its groove after taking some time to get…
Updated Injury Report for Tennessee vs KentuckyTennessee Volunteers On SI · 3 days agoThe Tennessee Volunteers and Kentucky Wildcats will face off yet again this coming Saturday in one of the biggest games of the weekend. This is also one of the biggest matchups in the series long history. Both teams enter the top 15 of the…
Tennessee's captains for Kentucky football gameYahoo Sports · 4 days agoNo. 16 Tennessee (6-2, 3-2 SEC) will face No. 7 Kentucky (7-1, 5-1 SEC) on Saturday at Neyland Stadium. Rankings reflect the US LBM Coaches Poll. Kickoff between the Vols and the Wildcats is slated for 6:15 p.m. EST in Week 10 of the 2026…
Stock up, stock down from Kentucky's win over James MadisonYahoo Sports · 3 days agoAs the clock counted down to zero on Friday, Kentucky basketball was credited with an 89-80 win over James Madison, but it was close to going the other way. The Wildcats needed a big second half to pull away, and take the victory in game…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Energy Information Administration

Trading closesApr 30, 2028 9:59 AM ET

Traded$33.2K (69,036 contracts)

At stake$2K

In the news121 headlines today, 1,539 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 20 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions