Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Aldo Carlos Mariños
50%
▼ 1
46¢
53¢
$1.89
Elías Rodríguez Zavaleta
48%
▼ 1
44¢
51¢
$1.96
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: La Libertad, Peru Governor, Aldo Carlos Mariños
Trujillo, the Trade City of Northern PeruThe Rio Times · 7 days agoPERU · CITY GUIDE Trujillo is a big trading city on Peru’s northern coast, home to farm exporters and busy shops. This guide explains how it works in late 2026. This guide explains Trujillo, the capital of Peru’s La Libertad Region and a…
Peru Extends Prison Emergency for 60 DaysThe Rio Times · 6 days agoPeru has extended its emergency at five high-risk prisons for 60 days from Thursday, 5 November. Police keep control of order, with armed forces in support. Peru extended a state of emergency at five high-risk prisons on Tuesday, 3…
Un juez desestima definitivamente la demanda de Trump contra The Wall Street JournalKRDO · 9 days agoPor Andrew Kirell y Brian Stelter, CNN Un juez federal desestimó este sábado la demanda por difamación que el presidente Donald Trump presentó contra The Wall Street Journal por una publicación sobre una carta de cumpleaños de contenido…
Honduras Towns Ban Halloween, Call It 'Diabolical' As Rights Debate EruptsLatin Times · 10 days agoA wave of local ordinances is reshaping what October 31 looks like across Honduras. Several municipalities have moved to formally prohibit Halloween celebrations this year, arguing the holiday carries diabolical and occult overtones…
Argentina Senate Passes Mental Health ReformThe Rio Times · 11 days agoARGENTINA · HEALTH POLICY Argentina’s Senate passed a mental health reform 42 to 21 on Friday 30 October 2026, making it easier to treat people against their will. The bill came from the government of President Javier Milei, and it now…
Opposition to Milei demands answers on possible aid to Fláviovalorinternational · 11 days agoFlávio crossed the border through a bridge at Puerto Iguazú, boarded an Argentine-registered jet and arrived in Miami, defying a Supreme Court decision to hand over his Brazilian and Italian passports. Milei’s government admits his entry…
Argentina Panel Backs Eased Falklands BillThe Rio Times · 13 days agoArgentina’s ruling party has won committee approval for its Falklands sovereignty bill. It first narrowed sanctions on companies, after the United States voiced concern. The Chamber of Deputies is Argentina’s lower house, and its…
Regresa María Corina Machado a Venezuela tras exilio@reforma · 15 days agoMaría Corina Machado, líder opositora venezolana y Premio Nobel de la Paz, anunció su regreso a dicho país tras casi un año de exilio. Caracas, Venezuela (25 octubre 2026) .-10:05 hrs María Corina Machado, líder opositora venezolana y…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions