Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
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Jessica Tisch departure announced? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
21%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 20273%
- Before Jul 1, 202711%
- Before Jan 1, 202821%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 20% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | 34.8K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 101 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 21% | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 234 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jessica Tisch
Search ›- Brooklyn community rocked by deadly stabbing on Shore Parkway greenwayNovember 4, 2026 / 6:29 PM EST / CBS New York A vigil is set to be held Wednesday for Katie Suarez, 28, who police say was fatally stabbed while jogging on the Shore Parkway greenway on Friday. Her family took her off life support on…
- Elite NYC public school pressed for answers after DSA student group backs ‘Intifada Until Victory’DOJ antisemitism task force chair Leo Terrell tells Fox News Digital the administration will keep pursuing universities that fail to protect Jewish students. A radical left-wing student group at one of New York City's most selective public…
- Mamdani-backed democratic socialist candidates Darializa Avila Chevalier, Claire Valdez win in New York, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 9:42 PM EST / CBS New York Tuesday was a big day for Democratic Socialists of America Congressional candidates backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Darializa Avila Chevalier won in New York's 13th District…
- For protecting women against violence, Mamdani puts ideology firstLast week’s fatal stabbing of a woman jogging along the Shore Parkway Greenway is just the latest sign that violence against women is surging in New York City; sure would be nice if City Hall took it seriously. The killing of Katie Suarez…
- Mamdani threatens to sue Trump admin over ICE's use of city-owned lots for immigration enforcementNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Friday labeled U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement "cruel" as Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch said the city does not "coordinate" with ICE, ahead of this weekend's gatherings. New York City…
- What we know about JLG’s transition teamCity Cast DC with Michael Schaffer November 5, 2026 · Michael Schaffer and Kate Corliss Good morning! Who invited Trayon White to speak at the Janeese Lewis George victory party? … A final vote is expected today on Trump’s victory arch ……
- DSA Pushes Mamdani to Defund NYPD After Candidates Sweep Midterms in New York.After all New York candidates endorsed by the far-left Democratic Socialists of America were elected during the midterms, Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is likely to face renewed pressure to adopt…
- Richard “Rick” Lawrence Levine85, of Bethesda, Maryland, passed away on October 18, 2026. Born in Fall River, Massachusetts, to the late Dr. Harry and Ruth (Goldberg) Levine, Rick spent most of his life in Boston before making his home in Bethesda. A graduate of…
- Spooked NYC mayor scrambles to resurrect anti-police task force as city elects hyper-woke congresswoman who wants to abolish NYPD altogetherZohran Mamdani is understood to be reviewing his position on the NYPD's controversial Strategic Response Group (SRG). The move comes as his far-left ally Darializa Avila Chevalier, who once argued that the police force should be scrapped…
- Death of a hero: Friends and family remember slain NYPD sergeant 10 years after his murder in the BronxThe widow and friends of NYPD Sergeant Paul Tuozzolo, who was shot to death on a Bronx street a decade ago, honored his memory Wednesday on the 10th anniversary of his killing. Tuozzolo, a 19-year veteran, lost his life on Nov. 4, 2016…
- All three Mamdani-backed candidates secure midterm wins in New York House racesAll three congressional candidates endorsed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani won their House races in New York’s reliably Democratic districts, according to projections by ABC News. Claire Valdez, Darializa Avila Chevalier, and Brad…
- Manhattan shooting victims: NYPD officer, Blackstone executive among the 4 killedWesley LePatner was a Blackstone employee, a wife and a mom of two. Four people were killed and a fifth was injured in a mass shooting at a Midtown Manhattan office building on Monday. The injured victim was an employee at the NFL…
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
6%Chamath Palihapitiya
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
- Larry Page5%▼ 14
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions