Lebanese general election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes May 10, 2028 · $8K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

66%Election Postponed Beyond Expiration
  • Election Postponed Beyond Expiration66%▲ 1
  • Lebanese Forces11%▲ 1
  • Amal Movement9%▲ 1
  • FPM4%
  • Hezbollah4%
  • PSP2%
  • Kataeb2%
  • Tashnag2%
  • Marada Movement2%
  • Independence Movement2%

How the odds have moved

Election Postponed Beyond Expiration: 67% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Election Postponed Beyond Expiration 66% ▲ 1 66¢ 74¢ $1.35 8.2K
Lebanese Forces 11% ▲ 1 7¢ 17¢ $5.88 12.3K
Amal Movement 9% ▲ 1 6¢ 15¢ $6.67 6.6K
FPM 4% 0¢ 9¢ $10.87 430
Hezbollah 4% 1¢ 7¢ $13.51 1.3K
PSP 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Kataeb 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Tashnag 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 2.00
Marada Movement 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Independence Movement 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lebanese, Election Postponed Beyond Expiration, Lebanese Forces

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions