Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? (Oct 27, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Oct 29 · $18.3K today · $141K traded · $63.3K at stake

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Settled 27.00A day before, traders had a median of 26.9

The last odds before it closed

27.5median
  • ✓ Above 17100%
  • ✓ Above 20100%
  • ✓ Above 2397%
  • ✓ Above 2497%▼ 2
  • ✓ Above 2697%▲ 23
  • Above 293%
  • Above 322%▲ 1
  • Above 352%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Median: 22.0 on Oct 20, 27.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Above 17 100% 4.8K
✓ Above 20 100% 20.2K
✓ Above 23 97% 18.2K
✓ Above 24 97% 36.0K
✓ Above 26 97% 63.0K
✗ Above 29 3% 68.0K
✗ Above 32 2% 6.1K
✗ Above 35 2% 1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Likud

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions