Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Labour Party
73%
▼ 1
70¢
77¢
$1.30
Green Party
19%
15¢
23¢
$4.35
Liberal Democrats
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
Reform UK
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Liverpool City Council, Labour Party, Green Party
Merseyside councillor joins Liberal Democrats after Green Party Zionism rowLiverpool Echo · 6 days agoCllr Kieran Dams represents Waterloo ward on Sefton Council A Merseyside councillor has announced he is joining the Liberal Democrats after leaving the Green Party in October. He quit the party after a motion describing Zionism as a form…
Green Party at 'crossroads', says former co-leaderBBC News · 8 days agoThe Green Party is at a "crossroads" and needs to focus on its "core values", a former party co-leader has told the BBC, weeks after members adopted a motion declaring Zionism a form of racism. Adrian Ramsay suggested the Greens need their…
Green party must avoid being taken over by hard left, says former leaderthe Guardian · 9 days agoAdrian Ramsay says some new members would be ‘more at home’ in Your Party or Socialist Workers party The former Green party leader Adrian Ramsay has said the party must fix its internal democracy to avoid a takeover by the hard left…
Labour To Cease Cooperation With Green Party On 11 Councils Over Zionism MotionPolitics Home · 7 days agoGreen Party leader Zack Polanski has been criticised by some in his party for not turning up to vote through amendments to the 'Zionism is racism' motion (Alamy) The Labour Party is ending power-sharing arrangements with the Green Party in…
A budget of shame, from the ‘Labour’ PartyTimes of Malta · 7 days agoThis budget is the icing on the cake. It is a stain on Malta’s history and marks a dangerous path. Let us unpack what came before to bring balance to the conversation. We are witnessing years of marginalisation and superficial integration…
Liberal Democrat panel will not reopen complaints against Rennard — The GuardianUA.NEWS · 6 days agoAn independent Liberal Democrat panel has decided not to reopen its consideration of sexual harassment complaints against Lord Chris Rennard. Following legal advice, the panel concluded that the case could not be reopened without new…
Labour pulls out of council power-sharing deals with Green Party over Zionism rowDaily Mirror · 8 days agoGreen Party leader Zack Polanski has been under pressure over the party's 'Zionism is racism' motion(Image: Anadolu via Getty Images) Labour has pulled out of power-sharing deals with the Greens in a string of councils after a row over the…
Otti Flags Off Labour Party Campaigns Ahead Of 2027 Abia ElectionTrending News · 7 days agoMon Nov 02, 2026 November 2, 2026 9:58 PM GMT+1 Abia State Governor, Alex Otti, has urged political parties and their supporters to embrace peaceful campaigns and issue-based engagements ahead of the February 6, 2027 governorship and State…
Green Party Zionism motion sparks antisemitism concernsBrent & Kilburn Times · 7 days agoOn October 4, delegates at the Green Party conference voted to adopt a motion declaring that 'Zionism is racism'. More troubling still, they rejected an amendment intended to protect members from being pressured or disciplined because of…
UK Green Party mayor bolts over 'Zionism is Racism' motionWIN · 8 days agoNewquay Mayor Drew Creek accuses Green Party leader Zack Polanski of doubling down on a divisive anti-Zionist resolution, as the party faces growing criticism from Jewish members and political opponents. The mayor of a British town has…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions