Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
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Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City? (Before Jan 2030)
The odds
31%Before Jan 1, 2030
- Before Jan 1, 20271%
- Before Jan 1, 20285%
- Before Jan 1, 202913%
- Before Jan 1, 203031%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 2% on Oct 19, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 15.9K | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 252 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 844 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 31% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mayor of New York City, Zohran Mamdani
Search ›- NYC’s Zohran Mamdani and LA’s Nithya Raman reveal their coldness toward the homelessThe unclaimed bodies of nine homeless New Yorkers who froze to death during the coldest weeks of our brutal 2025-26 winter were laid to rest this week at St. Thomas Church on Fifth Avenue. Conspicuous by his absence was Mayor Zohran…
- Zohran Mamdani questioned on ties to Hasan Piker in exclusive interviewFox News Zohran Mamdani questioned on ties to Hasan Piker in exclusive interview Fox News' Shannon Bream previews her 'Fox News Sunday' interview with Zohran Mamdani where she questions his ties to Hasan Piker. 'Fox News Sunday' anchor…
- Zohran Mamdani one year on: the limits of Democratic Socialism in the USJames Supple looks at what socialist mayor of New York Zohran Mamdani has achieved in his first year in office and what it shows about the problems with socialist electoralism The mid-term elections delivered a historic wave of Democratic…
- Zohran Mamdani: US Midterms, The Democratic Future of America & The AI Economic BubbleWIRED Zohran Mamdani: US Midterms, The Democratic Future of America & The AI Economic Bubble Bobbi Althoff's Success Is No Accident Josh Johnson on Comedy and Mental Health in the Age of Social Media Antony Blinken on National…
- Zohran Mamdani, Kathy Hochul travel to Puerto Rico for annual conferencePUERTO RICO (WABC) -- Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Zohran Mamdani traveled to Puerto Rico this week, where they joined other elected officials for the annual Somos Conference and discussed support for the U.S. territory following Democrats'…
- Did NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani just take shot at LeBron James despite 76ers beating Knicks twice already this season?NYC Mayor and Knicks fan Zohran Mamdani might've taken a shot at 76ers star LeBron James, who reportedly still lives in New York City. Despite playing for the Philadelphia 76ers, who have already beaten the New York Knicks twice, LeBron…
- United States Of 'Mamdani-Stan'? All 3 Zohran Mamdani-Backed Candidates Win MidtermsAll three congressional candidates backed by New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani have won the US midterm elections and converted a clean sweep in the Democratic primaries into three seats in the House of Representatives. Their victories have…
- New Yorkers have approved all five of Mayor Zohran Mamdani's initiatives.New Yorkers supported all five of Mayor Zohran Mamdani's proposed city charter amendments. The new measures will streamline permitting for outdoor restaurant dining and expedite the construction of bike and bus lanes. Gothamist tells in…
- ‘Our Risk, Their Reward’: Zohran Mamdani on AI and Data CentersIf you think you had a wild year, just imagine how New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani must feel. While I was there, I saw you being serenaded with “Happy Birthday.” I did not join. I kept walking. I was like, “I’m gonna see this guy.”…
- Nithya Raman elected LA mayor, draws Zohran Mamdani comparisonsDemocratic socialist-backed candidate Nithya Raman defeated incumbent Karen Bass in a closely fought race for Los Angeles mayor. Bass conceded on Thursday to one of the latest among a new wave of fast-rising democratic socialists and…
- Zohran Mamdani Says Americans Will See Through Empty Promises After Victory - Aaj DigitalAaj News Don't Miss the Latest News Subscribing is the best way to get our best stories immediately.
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All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
6%Chamath Palihapitiya
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
- Larry Page5%▼ 14
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions