Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Reform UK
58%
54¢
62¢
$1.61
Labour
27%
23¢
31¢
$3.23
Conservative
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Steve Garner
5%
1¢
8¢
$12.50
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Lib Dems and Reform UK in war of words over alleged shoveBBC News · 11 days agoA war of words has broken out between Lib Dem MP Caroline Voaden and Reform UK leader Nigel Farage over an alleged physical altercation in the House of Commons. The row was triggered when Farage, explaining why he had not attended…
Reform UK launches its own ‘newspaper’ with Farage on front pagethe Guardian · 12 days agoParty aims to build a ‘significant national publishing operation’ as first edition of the Reformer is distributed Reform UK has launched what it is calling a newspaper, featuring large pictures of Nigel Farage, which the party hopes will…
Labour torn to shreds by Reform UK for 'absolute scandal' – £199m in the redExpress.co.uk · 9 days agoLabour's legacy in Wales is a health service in financial “crisis” and radical action is needed to rescue the reputation of self-government, Reform UK has warned. The party is calling for health chiefs to be fired if they fail to turn…
Engaging with the sector: the Reform UK party conferenceUK Finance · 10 days agoYou can use the search function to find a range of UK Finance material, from consultation responses to thought leadership to blogs, or to find content on a range of topics from Capital Markets & Wholesale to Payments & Innovation. As part…
Reform UK leader Farage accused of shoving female MP — The GuardianUA.NEWS · 11 days agoIn the United Kingdom, Liberal Democrat deputy leader Daisy Cooper said that Reform UK leader Nigel Farage physically shoved a female MP from her party in May. The allegation came after Farage explained his absence from John Healey’s…
Reform UK Scottish leader announces frontbench reshuffle at HolyroodSTV News · 12 days agoMalcolm Offord said he had ‘shuffled’ his MSP team – with the announcement coming after MSP Amanda Bland quit the party Reform UK’s Scottish leader, Malcolm Offord, has reshuffled his front bench team at Holyrood after his party lost an…
Kemi Badenoch furiously hits back at 'racist attacks' in Reform UK rowExpress.co.uk · 12 days agoTory leader warned that 'racist attacks' on her were 'not going to work' Kemi Badenoch insisted that “racist attacks” on her were “not going to work” after a former aide to Nigel Farage called her a “Nigerian scammer”. The Tory leader was…
Nigel Farage explains stance on Reform UK members supporting Tommy RobinsonThe Independent · 12 days agoNigel Farage has stated that Reform UK is unable to monitor members who back Tommy Robinson, despite describing the conduct that led to his harassment conviction as “very wrong”. The party leader noted that "people have different…
Reform UK fury as Lib Dem 'activist' puts Nigel Farage 'on trial' at girls' schoolExpress.co.uk · 13 days agoA local Reform UK chief has claimed a Lib Dem "activist" put Nigel Farage "on trial" during a visit to a girls' school. George Finch, leader of Warwickshire County Council, posted a statement on X on Tuesday in which he described feeling…
Is New England a State?@nytimes · 11 days agoAndrew writes: About 20 years ago, my wife and I made a $10 bet on whether or not New England is a state. The atlas says no. But I ask: If New England isn’t a state, why does it have its own state fair, the Big E, and its own football…
Security guard who protected Nigel Farage on campaign trail was facing rape chargethe Guardian · 11 days agoRyan Dinnage – who accompanied Reform UK leader on walkabouts before local elections – was later jailed, raising questions about vetting failure One of Nigel Farage’s security team who accompanied him on the local election campaign trail…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions