Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%
- Richmond, CA64%
- Boulder, CO59%
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
Jim McDonnell announces departure as LAPD Chief? (Before Jan 2028)
The odds
Feb 19, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202736%▲ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202763%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202773%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202881%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 35% on Nov 6, 36% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 63% | ▲ 1 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 73% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jim McDonnell, LAPD Chief
Search ›- Will Nithya Raman replace LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell? What to knowOne of Nithya Raman’s first calls after winning the Los Angeles mayoral election Thursday was to Los Angeles Police Department Chief Jim McDonnell – the very police chief she has pledged to replace. At her first public appearance as…
- Mayor-Elect Nithya Raman joins anti-ICE protests after tense standoff with agents at LA hospitalLos Angeles Mayor-elect Nithya Raman wasted little time signaling where she stands on immigration enforcement, joining anti-ICE protesters Saturday and leading chants demanding federal agents leave the city. Raman appeared outside…
- Nithya Raman says safety comes first. Her record tells a troubling storyNithya Raman cannot seem to decide what she is doing about the LAPD and its chief, Jim McDonnell. During her press conference last week, she dodged questions about his future. Helpfully, she declared that “public safety is the most…
- LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell skewers Nithya Raman’s repeated attacks on him: ‘It’s ugly’LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell is firing back at mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman after her repeated threats to give him the boot, blasting her accusations that his department is cozying up to ICE and alienating immigrant communities. The veteran…
- Nithya Raman struggles to answer tough questions in first press conference as LA mayor-electLos Angeles Mayor-elect Nithya Raman sidestepped questions about whether she still intends to oust LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell and reduce police staffing during a brief first press conference Thursday. “You know, I have spoken to leadership…
- Nithya Raman can succeed as mayor — but not with socialist policiesCongratulations to Nithya Raman, who achieved the rare feat of defeating an incumbent LA mayor. Even more remarkable, Raman won without the backing of most of the labor unions, who supported incumbent Mayor Karen Bass. But let’s get real…
- Nithya Raman’s victory means four years of destructive chaos — and her socialist revolution will leave LA in ruinsNithya Raman’s victory in the race for LA mayor has been compared to an earthquake. It could shake the foundations of politics in the city. After all, Raman is a far-left socialist. She is s second-term City Council member with no…
- Federal agents join LAPD to launch crackdown on human trafficking along Figueroa CorridorUpdated on: September 4, 2024 / 10:30 PM PDT / CBS LA The FBI and Homeland Security launched a joint initiative with the Los Angeles Police Department on Wednesday to crack down on human traffickers. Law enforcement detached from the…
- LA’s Foreign-Born, DSA-Backed New Mayor Wants to Make It the ‘Strongest Sanctuary City in the Country.’Nithya Raman has been elected Mayor of Los Angeles, unseating outgoing Democrat Mayor Karen Bass and marking another victory for the far-left Democratic Socialists of America during the 2026 midterm elections. Raman has repeatedly…
- Xavier Becerra and Nithya Raman won their elections — now they’re dodging questions about the promises that got them thereXavier Becerra and Nithya Raman seem to think that they don’t have a responsibility to tell the public what they plan to do in office, now that they have won their respective elections. The governor-elect and mayor-elect both brushed…
- LAPD Union Grapples With Nithya Raman’s Mayoral WinThe Los Angeles Police Protective League released a statement addressing concerns over possible changes to the LAPD under the new mayor With Los Angeles’ eyes on mayor-elect Nithya Raman, the Los Angeles Police Protective League (LAPPL)…
- Nithya Raman will be LA’s next mayor; Karen Bass concedesNithya Raman just made history as L.A.’s new mayor. Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass said she had reached out to her one-time ally to concede the election, handing the reins of victory to Raman, who becomes the first South Asian mayor of the…
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Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
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- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
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- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions