2030 Mexico Presidential election winner?

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 2, 2031 · $23 traded · $23 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

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The odds

10%Omar García Harfuch
  • Omar García Harfuch10%
  • Clara Brugada6%
  • Marcelo Ebrard6%
  • Ricardo Salinas Pliego6%
  • Luis Donaldo Colosio5%
  • Samuel García4%
  • Mara Lezama3%
  • Ricardo Anaya3%
  • Gerardo Fernández Noroña3%
  • Andrés López Beltrán3%
  • Lilly Téllez3%
  • Mauricio Kuri3%
1 more
  • Alejandro Moreno3%

How the odds have moved

Omar García Harfuch: 8% on Oct 28, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Omar García Harfuch 10% 7¢ 12¢ $8.33 247
Clara Brugada 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50
Marcelo Ebrard 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50
Ricardo Salinas Pliego 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50
Luis Donaldo Colosio 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29
Samuel García 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67
Mara Lezama 3% 6¢ $16.67
Ricardo Anaya 3% 6¢ $16.67
Gerardo Fernández Noroña 3% 6¢ $16.67
Andrés López Beltrán 3% 5¢ $20.00
Lilly Téllez 3% 5¢ $20.00
Mauricio Kuri 3% 5¢ $20.00
Alejandro Moreno 3% 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mexico Presidential, Omar García Harfuch, Clara Brugada

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  • Mexico’s Election Agency Loses 15 StaffThe Rio Times · 11 days agoThree separate Mexican stories from one week: an exodus at the national election agency, the killing of a local councilman and his wife, and a cartel arrest. Fifteen officials have left Mexico’s Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE), the…
  • The Big Read: Mexico, Thursday 29 OctoberThe Rio Times · 12 days ago—Reported killing. Officials provisionally named Jesús ‘Chuy’ González Peñuelas among two men the Navy killed in Sinaloa on 26 October. —US reward. The US State Department offered up to US$5 million for information leading to his arrest or…
  • MND Local CDMX: Rent reforms, a viral Tesla crash and possible Cowboys gameMexico News Daily · 11 days agoMexico City is tackling a range of issues this week, from housing affordability and suspected dog poisonings to a dramatic car crash caught on camera. Meanwhile, Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones has teased a future NFL game in the capital…
  • Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, Historic Mexican Politician and Former Presidential Candidate, Dies at 92US News & World Report · 12 days agoFormer Mexican presidential candidate Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas has died at 92 Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, Historic Mexican Politician and Former Presidential Candidate, Dies at 92 An undisputed leader of the Mexican left, Cárdenas was the son of one…
  • The Big Read: Mexico, Wednesday 28 OctoberThe Rio Times · 13 days agoMexico’s week holds a Formula 1 title chance, stalled tariff talks, a search for missing migrants and a grim murder count. Formula 1’s Mexico City Grand Prix runs from Friday 30 October to Sunday 1 November at the Autódromo Hermanos…
  • Mexico City to host UN global forum on the future of cities in 2028International Business Times · 14 days agoMexico City will host the 14th World Urban Forum (WUF14), organized by the United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat), from July 31 to August 4, 2028. Mayor Clara Brugada Molina presented details of the event on Monday…
  • Mexico Election 2006PBS News · 14 days agoA top Mexican court certified Felipe Calderon as the new president of Mexico Tuesday, two months after the election, rejecting allegations of fraud. His challenger Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has vowed to ignore the court's decision…
  • Baja la percepción de inseguridad en México pero se mantiene arriba del 80% en 10 grandes ciudadesKRDO · 16 days agoLa percepción de inseguridad en México bajó al 58,1% al corte de septiembre pero en 10 de las principales ciudades del país se mantiene arriba del 80%, de acuerdo con la Encuesta Nacional de Seguridad Pública Urbana que el Instituto…
  • Trump Says Cartels Govern Mexico AgainThe Rio Times · 25 days agoMEXICO · US RELATIONS · SECURITY US President Donald Trump said on Thursday 15 October that the cartels govern Mexico and that he has told President Claudia Sheinbaum so directly. He spoke at a lunch in the White House Rose Garden, less…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions