Will a court invalidate Montana's new property tax rates? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Politics › States & cities Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $5 traded · $5 at stake · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

34%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 34% on Oct 19, 34% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	34%		33¢	34¢	$2.94	15.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Montana

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Montana 2026 election resultsCNN · 7 days agoCNN Montana 2026 election results Live results: Montana Senate Follow live results in the Montana Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Montana House Democrat Sam…
Montana Election ResultsBloomberg.com · 7 days agoMontana voters are casting ballots for Senate and the state’s two US House seats. The contest to fill the open seat in the state’s 1st Congressional District is rated a toss up by the Cook Political Report. Margin shifts from the 2024…
Montana U.S. Senate election results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
Montana live results: 2026 House electionsThe Hill · 6 days agoThe Hill by The Hill Staff 11/03/26 12:00 PM ET Voters in western Montana are set to choose their next member of Congress after Rep. Ryan Zinke (R) announced he would not seek reelection. Republican Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag are…
Montana State BobcatsThe Athletic · 7 days agoNews, Schedule, Scores, Roster, and Stats - The Athletic The New York Times
Colorado State opens season with 84-74 win over Montana StateCBS Sports · 7 days ago247Sports Colorado State opens season with 84-74 win over Montana State Josh Pascarelli and Carey Booth scored 16 points apiece as the host Rams opened the season by pulling ahead midway through the second half. Pascarelli shot 6 of 10…
Weber State vs. Montana (Jan 7, 2027) Live ScoreESPN · 6 days agoESPN
Colorado State 84-74 Montana State (Nov 2, 2026) Game RecapESPN · 7 days agoESPN
How to watch Oregon vs. Montana: Time, TV channel, streamingYahoo Sports · 8 days agoThose first two exhibition games for the Oregon men's basketball team were not a pretty sight. But interim coach Tony Stubblefield and his staff seem to have turned things around as Oregon hammered Stanford to end the exhibition season…
Montana State 82-38 Black Hills State (Nov 2, 2026) Game RecapESPN · 7 days agoESPN
The Montana Statesman Brings Its Montana News Coverage to More PlatformsThe Tiger's Roar · 6 days agoThe independent publication now reaches readers on social media, blogging networks and newsletter platforms, so Montanans can follow the news where they already read HELENA, Mont. — November 3, 2026 — The Montana Statesman, an independent…
Montana State OverviewMS NOW · 7 days agoLive Montana election results 2026: U.S. Senate and U.S. House results, county-by-county map and race calls. Updated as votes are counted Nov. 3.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMontana Courts

Trading closesFeb 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$5 (15 contracts)

At stake$5

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If any Montana state district court or the Montana Supreme Court holds or declares Senate Bill 542 (2025) unconstitutional and void — in its entirety or at least as to its graduated class four property tax rates — in Hertz v. State of Montana, any appeal of that action, or any other Montana action challenging Senate Bill 542's constitutionality before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions