Nairobi Governor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Aug 10, 2028 · $9 today · $17 traded · prices read 10 min ago

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The odds

35%Babu Owino
  • Babu Owino35%
  • Agnes Kagure17%
  • Johnson Sakaja16%
  • James Gakuya12%
  • George Aladwa5%
  • Ronald Karauri4%
  • Margaret Wanjiru4%
  • Tony Gachoka3%

How the odds have moved

Babu Owino: 34% on Oct 19, 35% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Babu Owino 35% 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 50.00
Agnes Kagure 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76
Johnson Sakaja 16% 12¢ 20¢ $5.00
James Gakuya 12% 8¢ 16¢ $6.25
George Aladwa 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Ronald Karauri 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Margaret Wanjiru 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Tony Gachoka 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nairobi Governor, Babu Owino, Agnes Kagure

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions