Who will be the next DNC Chair? (Before Jan 1, 2045)

Kalshi Politics Closes Jan 8, 2045 · $8 today · $237 traded · $101 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

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The odds

15%Martin O’Malley
  • Martin O’Malley15%▼ 2
  • Faiz Shakir11%▼ 1
  • Shasti Conrad4%
  • Rahm Emanuel4%
  • Stacey Abrams3%▲ 1
  • Artie Blanco3%
  • David Hogg3%
  • Sherrod Brown3%
  • Tim Walz3%
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Reyna Walters-Morgan2%
  • Virginia McGregor2%
22 more
  • Ro Khanna2%
  • Jon Tester2%
  • Laphonza Butler2%
  • Nate Snyder2%
  • Gretchen Whitmer2%
  • Jason Rae2%
  • Ben Wikler2%
  • Jane Kleeb2%
  • Howard Dean2%
  • Jaime Harrison2%
  • Pete Buttigieg2%
  • Michael Blake2%
  • Chris Korge2%
  • James Skoufis2%
  • Marianne Williamson2%
  • Jason Paul2%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Mitch Landrieu2%
  • Quintessa Hathaway2%
  • Amanda Litman2%
  • Pramila Jayapal2%
  • Malcolm Kenyatta<1%

How the odds have moved

Martin O’Malley: 9% on Oct 19, 15% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Martin O’Malley 15% ▼ 2 15¢ 20¢ $5.00 216
Faiz Shakir 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 306
Shasti Conrad 4% 1¢ 9¢ $10.64 508
Rahm Emanuel 4% 1¢ 9¢ $11.36 197
Stacey Abrams 3% ▲ 1 2¢ 6¢ $16.13 416
Artie Blanco 3% 0¢ 7¢ $13.51 628
David Hogg 3% 0¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.2K
Sherrod Brown 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.95 44.00
Tim Walz 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.95 43.00
J.B. Pritzker 2% 0¢ 6¢ $16.39 52.00
Reyna Walters-Morgan 2% 6¢ $16.67 230
Virginia McGregor 2% 1¢ 5¢ $20.41 52.00
Ro Khanna 2% 6¢ $16.95 103
Jon Tester 2% 6¢ $17.24 43.00
Laphonza Butler 2% 6¢ $17.54 27.00
Nate Snyder 2% 6¢ $17.54 43.00
Gretchen Whitmer 2% 6¢ $17.86 21.00
Jason Rae 2% 6¢ $18.18 16.00
Ben Wikler 2% 5¢ $18.52 130
Jane Kleeb 2% 5¢ $18.52 9.00
Howard Dean 2% 5¢ $18.52 8.00
Jaime Harrison 2% 5¢ $18.52 8.00
Pete Buttigieg 2% 5¢ $18.52 7.00
Michael Blake 2% 5¢ $18.52 7.00
Chris Korge 2% 5¢ $18.52 7.00
James Skoufis 2% 5¢ $18.52 8.00
Marianne Williamson 2% 5¢ $18.52 8.00
Jason Paul 2% 5¢ $18.52 10.00
Andy Beshear 2% 5¢ $18.52 184
Mitch Landrieu 2% 5¢ $18.52 1.00
Quintessa Hathaway 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 84.00
Amanda Litman 2% 5¢ $21.28 41.00
Pramila Jayapal 2% 4¢ $25.00 99.00
Malcolm Kenyatta <1% 1¢ $100.00 26.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: DNC Chair, Martin O’Malley, Faiz Shakir

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  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
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18 more
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions