Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Ralph Torres
94%
2¢
98¢
$1.02
2.2K
Blas “BJ” Attao
5%
98¢
$1.02
532
Lawrence Camacho
<1%
1¢
$100.00
70.00
Christina “Tina” Sablan
<1%
1¢
$100.00
227
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Northern Mariana Islands Governor, Ralph Torres, Lawrence Camacho
Overlooked midterm election in strategic Marianas could open the door to ChinaGeostrategy · 7 days agoby WorldTribune Staff, November 2, 2026 — Real World News Tuesday’s midterm election in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) is drawing close attention as a critical geopolitical referendum on communist China’s influence…
Marianas midterm vote a referendum on China's murky influenceAsia Times · 10 days agoWhile some watch election outcomes in Michigan, Texas and other high-profile campaigns, defense planners should closely watch election results in another part of the United States. The US territory of the Commonwealth of the Northern…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions