Nuevo León Governor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 6, 2028 · $768 traded · $501 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

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The odds

27%Adrián de la Garza Santos
  • Adrián de la Garza Santos27%▼ 1
  • Mariana Rodríguez Cantú15%▼ 1
  • Clara Luz Flores Carrales11%▼ 1
  • Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas6%▼ 1
  • Andrés Mijes Llovera2%
  • Carlos de la Fuente Flores2%
  • Félix Arratia Cruz2%
  • Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez2%
  • Jesús Alberto Elizondo2%
  • Raúl Lozano Caballero2%
  • Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo2%
  • Ivonne Liliana Álvarez García2%
12 more
  • César Garza Arredondo2%
  • Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla2%
  • Arturo Salinas Garza2%
  • Fernando Jesús Margáin Sada2%
  • Héctor García García2%
  • Judith Díaz Delgado2%
  • Martha Herrera González2%
  • Waldo Fernández González2%
  • David de la Peña Marroquín2%
  • Annia Gómez Cárdenas2%
  • Daniel Carrillo Martínez2%
  • Miguel Flores Serna2%

How the odds have moved

Adrián de la Garza Santos: 18% on Oct 19, 27% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 12 PM ETAdrián de la Garza Santos: 18% → 25%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Adrián de la Garza Santos 27% ▼ 1 27¢ 34¢ $2.94 574
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 15% ▼ 1 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 704
Clara Luz Flores Carrales 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 17¢ $5.88 606
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 6% ▼ 1 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 458
Andrés Mijes Llovera 2% 6¢ $16.67 675
Carlos de la Fuente Flores 2% 6¢ $16.67 225
Félix Arratia Cruz 2% 6¢ $16.67 550
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez 2% 6¢ $16.67 450
Jesús Alberto Elizondo 2% 6¢ $16.67 225
Raúl Lozano Caballero 2% 6¢ $16.67 225
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 2% 6¢ $16.67 4.3K
Ivonne Liliana Álvarez García 2% 6¢ $16.67 450
César Garza Arredondo 2% 6¢ $16.67 225
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 2% 5¢ $20.00 450
Arturo Salinas Garza 2% 5¢ $20.00 225
Fernando Jesús Margáin Sada 2% 5¢ $20.00 450
Héctor García García 2% 5¢ $20.00 451
Judith Díaz Delgado 2% 5¢ $20.00 450
Martha Herrera González 2% 5¢ $20.00 451
Waldo Fernández González 2% 5¢ $20.00 1.5K
David de la Peña Marroquín 2% 5¢ $20.00 451
Annia Gómez Cárdenas 2% 4¢ $25.00 225
Daniel Carrillo Martínez 2% 4¢ $25.00 225
Miguel Flores Serna 2% 4¢ $25.00 225

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nuevo León Governor, Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, Clara Luz Flores Carrales

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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