Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
The odds
34,500median
10,00060,000
Median 34,500Middle half 22,000 – 47,059
How the odds have moved
Median: 34,773 on Oct 19, 34,500 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15,000 | 90% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 34.00 |
| Above 20,000 | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | |
| Above 25,000 | 69% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| Above 30,000 | 59% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 4.00 |
| Above 35,000 | 49% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | |
| Above 40,000 | 39% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| Above 45,000 | 28% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 26.00 |
| Above 50,000 | 20% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| Above 55,000 | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City, FY2027
Search ›- Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposalFox News Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposal Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute discusses Zohran Mamdani's proposal for a second-home tax in New York City. Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute…
- John Harbaugh Crushed By Tragic Death At The New York City MarathonNew York Giants head coach John Harbaugh is offering his thoughts and prayers to the family of Rachel Apa. Apa, 24, passed away while running the 2026 New York City Marathon this past Sunday. She collapsed just 2.2 miles from the finish…
- Tragedy strikes at New York City Marathon as ‘perfect health’ 24-year-old diesRachel Apa, 24, of Lewisberry, Pennsylvania, was a former Division I field hockey player at Bucknell University who ran on Sunday to fight Parkinson's disease, which had killed her grandfather. Apa appeared to be in perfect health and…
- New York City Digs Out After Near-Record SnowstormJanuary 24, 2016 / 7:50 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK (CBSNewYork/AP) -- New York City residents are digging out of the snow Sunday after a mammoth blizzard. Officials say the 26.8 inches of snow that fell in Central Park is the…
- TCS New York City Marathon news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. TCS New…
- 24-year-old dies after collapsing during the New York City Marathon | CNNA 24-year-old running her first New York City Marathon collapsed near mile 24 and died hours later. According to her father, she died from rhabdomyolysis, a condition in which skeletal muscle disintegrates, sending toxins into a person’s…
- New York City Marathon runner dies after collapsing miles from finishYahoo Sports Rachel Apa, 24, died after collapsing near mile 24 of the New York City Marathon on November 1.
- New York City’s Mamdani criticizes Madison Square Garden owner over surveillance techFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Mayor of New York City Zohran Mamdani has criticized the owner of Madison Square Garden, one of the city’s largest entertainment…
- Rachel Apa, a 24-year-old athlete, dies after collapsing during her first New York City MarathonRachel Apa, a former Division I field hockey player and first-time marathon runner, died Sunday after she collapsed while participating in the New York City Marathon. She was 24. "We are deeply saddened by Rachel's passing following…
- The best way to recover from the New York City Marathon is ‘surprisingly delicious’The 2026 New York City Marathon is officially over, and if you’re among the 60,000 athletes that toed the start line over the weekend, chances are you’re pretty sore right now. As a marathoner myself, I know firsthand the importance of…
- 24-year-old woman dies after collapsing in final stages of New York City MarathonFather says Rachel Apa died from rhabdomyolysis Runner was former college athlete in ‘perfect shape’ A 24-year-old woman died after collapsing during the final stages of Sunday’s New York City Marathon, her father has said. Rachel Apa’s…
- Woman, 24, Dies from Rare Muscle Condition After Collapsing 2 Miles from Finish Line of New York City MarathonRachel Apa, 24, died after collapsing during the New York City Marathon, which she was running in memory of her grandfather, on Sunday, Nov. 1 Spectators gave her CPR, before medical staff used a defibrillator and paramedics transported…
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All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
6%Chamath Palihapitiya
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
- Larry Page5%▼ 14
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions