Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (Before 2026)
The odds
121.2median
90123
Median 121.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 121.5 on Oct 20, 121.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 23 | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | 2.7K | ||
| At least 13 | 90% | 88¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 6.6K | |
| At least 8 | 81% | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 15.0K | |
| At least 3 | 69% | 66¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 60.4K | |
| At least 2 | 52% | 48¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 1.2K | |
| At least 1 | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City
Search ›- WATCH LIVE: New York City Mayor Mamdani holds press conferenceNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani makes transportation announcement. WATCH LIVE: New York City Mayor Mamdani holds press conference New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani makes transportation announcement.
- WATCH LIVE: New York City Mayor Mamdani holds news conferenceNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani provides update on the blaze alongside FDNY Commissioner Lilian Bonsignore. WATCH LIVE: New York City Mayor Mamdani holds news conference New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani provides update on the blaze…
- Mr. G recaps the route for the New York City marathonNEW YORK CITY [PIX11] – See NYC through Mr. G’s eyes – this week, he talks about the New York City Marathon route. Watch the full episode in the video player above! - Mr. G recaps the route for the New York City marathon Updated 2026 New…
- NYPD officials to discuss security for the 2026 TCS New York City MarathonOctober 28, 2026 / 8:01 AM EDT / CBS New York New York Police Department Commissioner Jessica Tisch and other executives will be discussing security efforts ahead of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon. The 50th annual race is set for…
- Power Ranking The American Men In The Marathon Ahead Of The 2026 New York City MarathonThe 2026 New York City Marathon is quickly approaching, and yet again - we have a stellar field of American Men slated to make a start. Ahead of the action, we ranked the Top 20 Active American men at the distance (women's ranking article…
- New York City Council speaker on how cities can help regulate AILocal governments have been grappling with how to best regulate AI. New York City Council speaker Julie Menin recently brought leaders from the biggest AI companies together for a hearing on AI safety, and shares her thoughts with CNBC's…
- Former NYPD inspector sounds off after violent attack in wealthy area of New York CityA former NYPD inspector sounds the alarm after a woman was raped at knifepoint in Central Park. The attack comes amid a rise in reported rapes in the iconic park. Questions mount over public safety and the response from city and state…
- Dems silent after violent attack in wealthy area of New York City as suspect remains at largeA former NYPD inspector sounds the alarm after a woman was raped at knifepoint in Central Park. The attack comes amid a rise in reported rapes in the iconic park. Questions mount over public safety and the response from city and state…
- New York City Ballet’s Choreographic Institute Film Gets Release DealAbramorama Dances To North American Rights For 'Make Work' About New York City Ballet’s Choreographic Institute ... Services to share this page. EXCLUSIVE: Abramorama has acquired North American distribution rights to Make Work, the…
- Send Mamdani a message — vote ‘NO’ on all five New York City ballot proposalsWith City Hall unlawfully pushing a “yes” on five charter-revision questions this year, we see no choice but to recommend a “no” on them all. One of them should be uncontroversial: Question 5 simply requires a bit more honesty about…
- How Spider-Man & Franz Joined Forces in New York City to Overcome KnicksWhen the lights shine brightest, the best and brightest step up. Scoring 21 points would be a good game by most measures; doing so in the fourth quarter alone is as good as it gets. Magic forward Franz Wagner had just 2 points through…
- How to Get Into the 2027 New York City MarathonIf you’ve found yourself here, you probably watched the 2026 New York City Marathon, felt the FOMO, and just have to be a part of it in 2027. Or, you crossed the finish line, and as you hobbled out of Central Park, medal around your neck…
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All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions