Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%
- Richmond, CA64%
- Boulder, CO59%
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%
- Binghamton, NY38%
Install
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | 33.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Department of Community Safety, Mamdani
Search ›- Mamdani on Trump bromance: ‘it varies’ who calls firstThe bromance between President Trump and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani continues even after Election Day’s blue tsunami. Asked this week about the politics of communication with the capitalist commander in chief, the socialist mayor revealed…
- Mamdani says DSA won't kick him outFox News Mamdani says DSA won't kick him out NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani joins 'Fox News Sunday' anchor Shannon Bream to answer a round of questions, ultimately saying he does not think the Democratic Socialists of America will kick him out…
- The bill comes due for Mamdani’s rent freezeWashington Examiner New York City’s socialist mayor, Zohran Mamdani, promised not just to freeze rents for 1 million rent-stabilized apartments in the city, but also to build another 200,000 affordable units and preserve another 200,000…
- NYC Mayor Mamdani expanding SNAP programCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change NYC Mayor Mamdani expanding SNAP program Rockettes debut new dance for Radio City Christmas Spectacular Republicans react after…
- Mamdani and Hochul promise a new day for Puerto Rico after Democrats sweep midtermsThe Washington Post New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul have pledged more support for Puerto Rico as it remains mired in multiple crises SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico — New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New York…
- How American leftists, including Mamdani’s team, are being trained by Brazilian revolutionariesLast week, Brazil’s leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, scored an upset victory over right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro—son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro—in a presidential runoff. “Lula,” as he is known, is among…
- Mamdani says voters gave Democrats a mandate to deliver on affordabilityNBC News Morning Rundown: Judge blocks Trump’s arch, Mississippi on cusp of historic Senate upset, and are we approaching a new era of Alzheimer’s prevention?
- NYC’s Zohran Mamdani and LA’s Nithya Raman reveal their coldness toward the homelessThe unclaimed bodies of nine homeless New Yorkers who froze to death during the coldest weeks of our brutal 2025-26 winter were laid to rest this week at St. Thomas Church on Fifth Avenue. Conspicuous by his absence was Mayor Zohran…
- FOX EXCLUSIVE: Mamdani pressed on Hasan Piker tiesFox News FOX EXCLUSIVE: Mamdani pressed on Hasan Piker ties During an exclusive interview on 'Fox News Sunday,' New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani was questioned on his ties to Hasan Piker.
- Mamdani touts growing socialist movement after election resultsFox Business Mamdani touts growing socialist movement after election results United Refining Chairman and CEO John Catsimatidis discusses the growth of the socialist movement in major U.S. cities. United Refining Chairman and CEO John…
- Lightning strike causes power outage in Brooklyn, NYC Mayor Mamdani saysUpdated on: November 6, 2026 / 11:12 AM EST / CBS New York A lightning strike caused a power outage impacting several thousand customers in Brooklyn Friday morning, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said. Con Ed said crews have been…
- DSA Pushes Mamdani to Defund NYPD After Candidates Sweep Midterms in New York.After all New York candidates endorsed by the far-left Democratic Socialists of America were elected during the midterms, Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is likely to face renewed pressure to adopt…
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
56%chance▲ 1
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions