Philippine presidential election winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes May 31, 2029 · $3K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

67%Sara Duterte
  • Sara Duterte67%
  • Leni Robredo9%▲ 1
  • Win Gatchalian4%
  • Grace Poe4%
  • Francis Pangilinan3%

How the odds have moved

Sara Duterte: 61% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 9 PM ETSara Duterte: 61% → 68%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Sara Duterte 67% 63¢ 71¢ $1.41 3.1K
Leni Robredo 9% ▲ 1 4¢ 13¢ $7.69 10.9K
Win Gatchalian 4% 0¢ 7¢ $13.51 275
Grace Poe 4% 0¢ 7¢ $14.29 271
Francis Pangilinan 3% 0¢ 7¢ $15.15 345

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Philippine, Sara Duterte, Leni Robredo

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  • Sara Duterte remains top 2028 presidential bet, Baste leads as 'alternative' choice–WR Numero | ABS-CBN NewsABS-CBN · 6 days agoSara Duterte remains top 2028 presidential bet, Baste leads as 'alternative' choice–WR Numero ABS-CBN Sara Duterte remains top 2028 presidential bet, Baste leads as 'alternative' choice–WR Numero Your go-to source for the latest news…
  • Defense’s list of witnesses in Sara Duterte trial expected this weekRAPPLER · 7 days agoVEEP. Vice President Sara Duterte talks to supporters as she prepares to leave the Quezon City Regional Trial Court after the postponement of the arraignment for her grave threats case, on October 9, 2026. MANILA, Philippines – The defense…
  • VP Sara Duterte honors Yolanda victims in Tacloban ahead of All Souls' DayThe Filipino Times · 10 days agoVice President Sara Duterte visited a memorial cemetery in Tacloban City to pay tribute to victims of Super Typhoon Yolanda, which devastated parts of the Visayas in November 2013. In a Facebook post on Saturday, Oct. 31, Duterte said she…
  • The ‘maleta boys’ keep coming. Now, they’re implicating Sara DuterteRAPPLER · 11 days ago'CHRIS'. An alleged bagman named Chris claims to have delivered suitcases of cash to Vice President Sara Duterte. Her spokesman denies it. Another alleged bagman who claims to have delivered suitcases of cash to Vice President Sara Duterte…
  • VP Sara visits family gravesDaily Tribune · 6 days agoVICE President Sara Duterte visits the graves of her deceased family members at Queen City Memorial Gardens in Cebu City on Sunday. Duterte offered flowers, lit candles and prayed for her departed relatives as part of her annual observance…
  • Falcis claims VP Sara’s defense struggling to find forensic witness for impeachment trialBNC | BILYONARYO NEWS CHANNEL · 7 days agoA member of the Abante-Bilyonaryo Group Sara Duterte's defense team reportedly struggles to secure a forensic expert for her Senate impeachment trial. Vice President Sara Duterte’s defense team is reportedly struggling to secure a forensic…
  • Philippine senator calls for closer ties台北時報 · 6 days agoPhilippine Senator Francis “Kiko” Pangilinan on Monday called for closer cooperation between Taiwan and the Philippines, saying their security is closely linked amid growing tensions with China. “What affects Taiwan will affect the…
  • AFP honors outgoing Navy chief EzpeletaDaily Tribune · 6 days agoThe Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) on Wednesday commended Philippine Navy chief Vice Adm. Jose Ma. Ambrosio Q. Ezpeleta for his leadership and contributions to military modernization during his exit call on AFP Chief of Staff Gen…
  • Philippine President Marcos’ early onset ‘lame-duckism’Asia News Network · 6 days ago"The central question is no longer whether Mr. Marcos can rescue his political fortunes. It is whether he can arrest deteriorating government performance, protect public resources, and leave behind a stronger state," highlights Segundo…
  • VP camp: All evidence inadmissibleBusinessWorld Online · 7 days agoTHE private defense counsel of Vice-President (VP) Sara Duterte-Carpio reiterated its continuing objection to the House of Representatives prosecutors’ formal offer of exhibits, saying all evidence is inadmissible because they are results…
  • UAE Ambassador meets Philippine Secretary of Defenseوزارة الخارجية الإماراتية · 7 days agoH.E. Mohamed Obaid Alqataam Alzaabi, UAE Ambassador in Manila, met with H.E. Gilberto C. Teodoro, Secretary of the Department of National Defense (DND) of the Republic of the Philippines, together with Staff Colonel Ahmed Saeed Ali Al…
  • Duterte defense seeks to block key evidence in impeachment trialThe Filipino Times · 6 days agoVice President Sara Duterte’s defense team is challenging the admissibility of key prosecution evidence in her impeachment trial, including financial records, bank transactions and statements of assets, arguing that the documents were not…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions