Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
NPC
44%
40¢
48¢
$2.08
755
PDP
32%
27¢
36¢
$2.78
Nacionalista
22%
18¢
26¢
$3.85
785
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The Impending Impeachment Conviction of Philippine Vice President Sara DuterteThe Diplomat · 19 days agoFour months into her impeachment trial in the Senate, the political winds are starting to turn against Duterte. The Philippine Senate holds a hearing in the ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, Oct. 13, 2026. Recent…
Philippines, Poland explore stronger defense, trade and investment cooperationThe Chronicle PH · 20 days agoSenate President Sherwin Gatchalian welcomed former Polish President Andrzej Duda and former European Parliament member Tomasz Poręba to the Philippine Senate on October 20, 2026, for discussions aimed at strengthening bilateral…
Manila Counted Seven Wounded and Changed NothingHouse of Saud · 21 days ago“Monitor security advisories before going to work.” Senator Erwin Tulfo, vice-chairman, Philippine Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, advising OFWs in Saudi Arabia (Manila Times, 19 October 2026) The contrast with Manila’s own history…
Philippine Senator Files Resolution Seeking Chinese Ambassador’s ExpulsionThe Diplomat · 21 days agoJing Quan prompted controversy last week when he told reporters that China could “easily win” a war against the Philippines. Senator Erwin Tulfo addresses a session of the Philippine Senate in Pasay City, Metro Manila, Philippines, Oct…
[OPINION] Duterte impeachment trial: The strange power of dropping chargesPhilstar Life · 25 days agoThree impeachment articles against Vice President Sara Duterte are gone. But an accusation can die in law and live on in politics. Is that a mistrial—or the peculiar nature of impeachment? In Lewis Carroll’s Alice’s Adventures in…
Prosecutors drop three impeachment charges against Philippine VP DuterteMiami Herald · 28 days agoMANILA, Oct 13 (Reuters) - The Philippine Senate, sitting as an impeachment court, approved the prosecution's withdrawal of most of the charges against Vice President Sara Duterte on Tuesday, in a trial that could kill her hopes to run for…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions