Kansas Governor winner? (2027)
>99%Cindy Holscher
- Cindy Holscher>99%
- Ty Masterson<1%
Install
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
The odds
3%At least 21
2029
How the odds have moved
At least 21: 86% on Oct 20, 3% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 6 PM ETAt least 21: 57% → 4%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 30, 10 PM ETAt least 21: 83% → 76%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 10.4K | |
| At least 22 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 18.4K | |
| At least 23 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 24 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.2K | ||
| At least 25 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 26 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.2K | ||
| At least 27 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 564 | ||
| At least 28 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 458 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Number of Republican, USELECTION
Search ›- GOP Senate candidate Michele Tafoya slams Kristi Noem over Minnesota immigration enforcementMinnesota Senate candidate Michele Tafoya criticized former Gov. Kristi Noem’s time leading DHS, calling a controversial immigration rollout poorly handled. RAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - Minnesota Republican Senate candidate Michele Tafoya is…
- Elon Musk Wildly Claims That Democrats Winning the Midterms Would Herald 'the End of Democracy'Elon Musk warned on X on Friday that a Democratic sweep of the House, Senate and presidency in 2028 would mean 'the end of democracy' in the United States, urging voters to elect Republican senators in this year's midterms. The appeal…
- Trump tells rally he was never attracted to either of his sisters as he blasts Ilhan Omar for allegedly marrying her brotherThe president, 80, sparked ridicule as a clip of his speech in Daytona Beach on Friday night went viral, where Trump was attacking Minnesota Congresswoman Ilhan Omar over allegations that she married her brother. 'I did not marry my…
- No matter what happens in the midterms, Canada-U.S. tensions are likely to remainPosted October 31, 2026 6:00 am. DETROIT — Democrats are hoping Tuesday’s midterm elections will give them the power to rein in U.S. President Donald Trump — but Canadians hoping for an outcome that stabilizes the rocky bilateral…
- The Worst Attack Ads of the Midterms—RankedOct 28, 2026 at 12:59 PM EDT Oct 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM EDT With the balance of Congress at stake and many races—particularly in the Senate—fiercely competitive, candidates have pulled out all the stops in their campaigns while their parties…
- 2026 Indiana Election ResultsFind your elected officials 2026 House Battle for Control > Indiana Indiana has nine congressional districts, seven of which are held by Republicans. It has been this way since 2012. There hasn't been much competition here in recent…
- Trump serves up fantasyland cope as brutal reality bites on his popularityPresident Donald Trump offered a fantastical account of his popularity Thursday, claiming almost unanimous support from Republicans even as a series of national surveys showed a substantially less flattering picture. In a Truth Social post…
- US to return to standard time Sunday as lawmakers rebuff Trump pushWASHINGTON, Oct 30 (Reuters) – President Donald Trump’s months-long push to prod lawmakers to end the twice yearly practice of changing the clocks — including posting the phone number of a US senator this month — has run out of time this…
- Storm conditions threaten to upend turnout in battleground states: reportA storm system is shaping up to move through the central United States on Election Day, and it could influence turnout in some of the region’s competitive races, CNN Weather reported on Thursday. Meteorologist Chris Dolce says forecasters…
- Pappas, Sununu Come Out Swinging in WMUR DebateDemocratic U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu came out swinging in Wednesday night’s WMUR debate, their final face-off before Tuesday’s election, showing neither candidate is taking anything for granted. Pappas repeatedly…
- Why Iowa is up for grabsWith midterms looming, President Trump campaigned in Iowa for a number of Republican candidates for tight House, Senate and governor seats. Iowa has been reliably red, but some longtime Republican and Independent voters say they’re turning…
- MAGA lost it over ‘elitist’ Cheesecake Factory dig. But now they sit silent as Trump boasts about Mar-a-Lago food costMAGA fumed over Barack Obama’s viral Cheesecake Factory dig, seizing on the remark to paint Democrats as snobbish and out of touch with hard working Americans. But President Donald Trump hasn’t exactly helped his allies make their case as…
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All governors ›Wyoming Governor margin of victory
50.7median
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Median 50.7Middle half 49.8 – 51.5
Kansas Governor Election Winner
99%Cindy Holscher (D)
- Cindy Holscher (D)99%
- Ty Masterson (R)<1%
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) (2026 midterms)
11%At least 3
29
Alaska Governor winner? (2026)
99%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins99%
- Bernadette Wilson1%
- Bill Walker<1%
13 more
- Lesil McGuire<1%
- Tom Begich<1%
- Mary Peltola<1%
- Click Bishop<1%
- Nancy Dahlstrom<1%
- Edna DeVries<1%
- Dave Bronson<1%
- Shelley Hughes<1%
- Matt Heilala<1%
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- Adam Crum<1%
- Treg Taylor<1%
- Lisa Murkowski<1%
South Dakota Governor margin of victory
25.5median
339
Median 25.5Middle half 24.7 – 26.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions