Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Scottish National Party
78%
▼ 1
78¢
85¢
$1.18
Labour
8%
5¢
13¢
$7.69
Reform UK
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Conservative
3%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
Liberal Democrat
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
Green
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Scottish Local, Scottish National Party, Reform UK
Reform UK councillor charged with rape and sexual assaultBBC News · 6 days agoRead more about the faces George Madgwick faces. Reform UK councillor charged with rape and sexual assault. Video, 00:01:02Reform UK councillor charged with rape and sexual assault Up Next. Watch: Why is 'mogging' the word of the year?…
Reform UK's Council of Sanctuary rethink bid failsBBC News · 6 days agoAn attempt to force a rethink on a local authority's decision to seek Council of Sanctuary status has failed. Hertfordshire County Council's scrutiny committee rejected a move by Reform UK councillors on Tuesday to have the decision…
Nottinghamshire 'fake news' Facebook page set up by man now working for Reform UKNottingham Post · 7 days agoA Reform UK rosette(Image: Joseph Raynor/ Reach PLC) A Nottinghamshire news page followed by over 10,000 people has been accused of peddling "political propaganda" after it emerged that it was set up by a man now working for Reform UK. The…
Clean Up Britain welcomes Reform UK’s commitment to tackle the country’s litter crisisClean Up Britain · 6 days agoA few weeks ago, CLUB publicly invited all the main political parties to work with it on the issue. Reform UK was the only party to respond. The party is now examining what action it could take at both the national and local levels to…
Reform UK becomes KU Mrofer to wipe slate cleanNewsBiscuit · 7 days agoReform UK was only founded eight years ago,' said a rants-man for the former party, 'but it became so overwhelmed by allegations of sleaze and racism that we have shut it down and started up the all-new, squeaky clean KU Mrofer.'It sounds…
Asylum And The Rise Of Reform UK – AnalysisEurasia Review · 7 days agoJust one year ago, the media dubbed the summer of 2025 “The Farage Season.” He dominated the political landscape, holding weekly press conferences across Britain. As recently as May 2026, Farage and his right-wing anti-immigrant party…
Another Reform UK donor scandal and questions asked of Reform’s record in County Durham@NEBylines · 7 days agoReform UK logo Public domain Meanwhile, it was also recorded, on 14 October, that a huge outcry had been sparked by a 23-year-old woman being sentenced to death by the Iranian regime over social media posts she had posted. Bearing all this…
Reform UK faces questions from equalities watchdog over ITV expose racism claimsNation.Cymru · 7 days agoReform UK is facing questions from Britain’s equalities watchdog, after an investigation by undercover journalists exposed racist remarks made by members of the party. The undercover probe by ITV News, broadcast in September, revealed…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions