The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✗ SNS-led list, ≥3%
20%
657
✗ SNS-led list, ≥5%
20%
2.2K
✗ SNS-led list, ≥10%
20%
2.3K
✗ SNS-led list, ≥15%
20%
1.7K
✗ SNS-led list, ≥20%
20%
3.3K
✗ SNS-led list, ≥25%
2%
205
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
How the downfall of Serbia's Vučiċ mirrored that of Hungary's OrbánBBC News · 9 days agoWhen they met in northern Serbia last November, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučiċ and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán could hardly have guessed they would both be out of power within a year. Both were ousted by popular movements…
Serbia, Brazil … US midterm elections? Global glimmers of hope for people powerthe Guardian · 11 days agoFrom the streets to the ballot box, people are showing that change is possibleSee more of Jess Harwood’s cartoons here Continue reading... Serbia, Brazil … US midterm elections? Global glimmers of hope for people power From the streets to…
Student-backed election winners demand sweeping resignations in SerbiaBBC News · 11 days agoSerbia's victorious student-led movement has called for top figures in the police, intelligence and judiciary to stand down, days after ousting ex-president Aleksandar Vučić's party from power. Standing in Pioneers' Park opposite…
BBC Audio | Newshour | Serbia's acting president on post-Vucic futureBBC News · 11 days agoAfter the election in Serbia removed Aleklsandr Vucic from power after 14 years, we speak to the acting president Ana Brnabic about what Serbia's future looks like now. Serbia's long-standing leader ... Serbia's acting president on…
How students toppled Serbia’s strongman – podcastthe Guardian · 12 days agoAfter two years of protests, a student-led movement has defeated Serbia’s authoritarian leader, Aleksander Vučić, at the ballot box. But can a leaderless movement govern a country? Send your comments and questions to…
Student List | The young Serb unrestThe Hindu · 9 days agoSerbian students’ anti-corruption protests topple the SNS, form a 21st-century political movement, and win Parliament through a populist, issue-driven platform. On November 1, 2024, the concrete canopy of the Novi Sad Railway station in…
Serbia's Alta Bank license revoked in election aftermath@thepeninsulaqatar · 9 days agoBelgrade: Serbia's central bank said on Saturday it revoked the license of Alta Bank, whose owner reportedly had close ties to former president Aleksandar Vucic's party. The decision comes days after the parliamentary polls that saw a…
How students rocked Serbia’s presidential election – video explainerthe Guardian · 13 days agoThe long-serving leader of Serbia, Aleksandar Vučić, has conceded defeat, ushering in a seismic political shift after a historic election that pitted the increasingly authoritarian leader against a student-led movement that had spent two…
Serbia’s student victory raises hopes of an EU resetYahoo News · 10 days agoThe Student List's landslide victory in Sunday's parliamentary elections has raised hopes that Serbia will mend ties with Brussels and relaunch its EU accession bid, but whether Belgrade will actually change its foreign policy remains…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions