How many days will U.S. cattle imports from Sonora be suspended? (Nov 6, 2026 – Mar 31, 2027)

Kalshi Politics Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $7.5K traded · $7.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

Embed

The odds

12%30 days or more
0150

How the odds have moved

30 days or more: 12% on Nov 7, 12% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
30 days or more 12% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88
60 days or more 9% 4¢ 14¢ $7.14
90 days or more 8% 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 100.0K
120 days or more 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 24.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Sonora

Search ›
  • Riverside Resources and Questcorp Prepare Phase 2B Exploration Drill Program at La Union Project, Sonoramarkets.businessinsider.com · 4 days agoImmediate work on road access, logistics, field sampling and target review is progressing, and Phase 2B is expected to begin in November 2026. Phase 2B Planned Actions Figure 1 : Map of La Union Project showing the planned Phase 2B drill…
  • Questcorp and Riverside Resources Commence Phase 2B Program at La Union Project, Sonora, MexicoYahoo Finance · 4 days agoRiverside has secured a reverse circulation ("RC") drilling rig in an effort to increase drill efficiency, penetration rates and hole depths. The absence of water in the core holes completed to date suggests drill cutting recovery should…
  • C3ntro Opens 2 MW Sonora Edge Site on TIKVA [2026]Tech Insider · 4 days agoThe headline numbers are specific. The route splits into 2,150 km inside Mexico and 350 km inside the United States, with 32 amplification points and 288 fibers. C3ntro says the network will carry 100 Gbps, 400 Gbps and 800 Gbps services…
  • Photo Gallery: Bret Harte Boys’ Water Polo at Sonora (11/4/26)Calaveras Enterprise · 5 days agoCalaveras Enterprise Red Hawks turn tables on Linden with crushing 42-7 victory Bret Harte girls make history with league championship Bullfrogs ‘protect the house’ and advance to section semifinals Bullfrogs’ section title hopes fall…
  • Our Man in Sonora – Under the ScopeThe Times of Houma/Thibodaux · 7 days agoThe Times of Houma/Thibodaux Our Man in Sonora – Under the Scope 10 Healthy Habits for Your Joints and Cartilage If you find yourself roving against the gentle Pacific breeze amidst verdant hills of gentle, rolling fields covered with…
  • One year after deadly fire, Sonora reforms constitution to prevent future tragediesKJZZ · 7 days agoKJZZ One year after deadly fire, Sonora reforms constitution to prevent future tragedies A year after a fire in downtown Hermosillo killed 24 people, the Mexican state of Sonora is making changes aimed at preventing future tragedies. The…
  • Sonora Grill Closes in Mérida Following Allegations of 500,000 Pesos Extortion by Health Officialsmexicodailypost.com · 7 days agomexicodailypost.com Within spread beside the ouch sulky this wonderfully and as the well and where supply much hyena so tolerantly recast hawk darn woodpecker. The establishment, located in the Urban Center shopping mall in northern…
  • Sonora Grill Exits Yucatán After Bribery FeudYucatán Magazine · 8 days agoSonora Grill, the steakhouse that accused Yucatán health inspectors of seeking a bribe last year, has closed its Mérida restaurant and left the state, according to a columnist for the local news site Sol Yucatán. Most of Sierra Villareal’s…
  • Dejan lluvias 2 muertos en Sonora; rescatan a 41 en BCS@reforma · 9 days agoCNPC informó que las fuertes lluvias registradas en Sonora dejaron dos personas muertas y que rescataron a 41 personas atrapadas en BCS. Cd. de México (31 octubre 2026) .-13:07 hrs CNPC informó que las fuertes lluvias registradas en Sonora…
  • Sonora Beats Ballinger in OT Thriller to Claim District TitleSan Angelo LIVE! · 10 days agoSONORA, TX — With the district title hanging in the balance, a wild game between Sonora and Ballinger on Friday came down to one final play. After Sonora answered Ballinger’s touchdown in overtime, the Broncos decided to go for the…
  • Deja 'Vance' inundaciones y daños en Sonora y BCS@reforma · 10 days agoCd. de México (30 octubre 2026) .-20:09 hrs En Guaymas, Sonora, vehículos pesados fueron arrastrados por las fuertes corrientes de agua y lodo; en Los Cabos, BCS, incluso, automóviles fueron arrastrados dentro del mar. Crédito…
  • CAT OF THE WEEK: Meet SonoraEastern Arizona Courier · 10 days agoMt. Graham Regional Medical Center plans to replace its existing hospital with a $250 million facility featuring additional operating rooms, expanded emergency services and specialized care for Gila Valley residents. Read moreMt. Graham…

Related markets

All politics ›
Politics › Trump administration

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

36%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth36%▼ 6
  • Will Scharf31%▼ 11
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
37 more
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 10
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%▼ 1
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 2
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Steven Cheung18%▼ 14
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio14%▼ 2
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 1
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.14%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%▲ 1
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Mike Huckabee12%
  • Tom Homan11%
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 4
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%
  • Tilman Fertitta7%
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 1
Politics › Trump administration

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions