Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2028
11%
9¢
13¢
$7.69
6.1K
Before Jan 1, 2029
17%
14¢
19¢
$5.26
6.3K
Before Jan 1, 2030
21%
19¢
23¢
$4.35
8.5K
Before Jan 1, 2031
27%
25¢
29¢
$3.45
9.2K
Before Jan 1, 2033
36%
33¢
38¢
$2.63
6.5K
Before Jan 1, 2035
41%
▼ 1
38¢
44¢
$2.27
12.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Don't miss "The Greatest Show on Earth"CBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Don't miss "The Greatest…
Earth’s churning mantle may have created the Great UnconformityArs Technica · 3 days agoExplaining the Great Unconformity, where Cambrian deposits sit on top of older rocks. The oldest sediments resting on the Great Unconformity in North America are between 635 and 482 million years old. Geologists have traced it across most…
Hear Fiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters Cover Mother Earth’s ‘Revolution’Rolling Stone · 3 days agoFiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters have covered Mother Earth’s 'Revolution' for an album benefiting Doctors Without Borders. Fiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters have covered Mother Earth’s “Revolution.” The song is set to appear on the Dougie…
These four women farmers are tending the earth — and their communitiesThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post This year, the United Nations is shining a light on women in agriculture, declaring 2026 the International Year of the Woman Farmer. Across the globe, women are playing an increasingly important role in local farm…
Earth has captured a new mini moon — but it won't stick around for longSpace · 4 days agoMeet QQ8. It's staying for Christmas! Earth has caught itself a new mini-moon, and it is sticking around for Christmas. The space rock, designated 2026 QQ8, was first observed in August 2026 after entering orbit around Earth in April 2026…
NASA space telescope plunges to Earth after two decades studying cosmic explosionsNew York Post · 5 days agoOne of NASA’s premier space telescopes plunged to Earth on Wednesday, ending its 22-year investigation of the universe’s biggest explosions. The Swift Observatory’s demise came less than three months after a long-shot rescue mission…
3,200-pound space telescope plunges back to Earth after 22 years in orbitCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 1:55 PM PST / CBS News The Swift Observatory, a 1.5-ton NASA telescope that was launched more than two decades ago, has crashed back to Earth after an effort to rescue the wayward instrument failed earlier this year. The…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions