Which parties will win a seat in Spain's Congress? (Nov 29, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 29, 2027 · $313 today · $6.2K traded · $4.2K at stake · prices read 35 min ago

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The odds

95%Adelante Andalucía
  • Adelante Andalucía95%▲ 3
  • Coalición Canaria82%▼ 13
  • Podemos75%▲ 7
  • Se Acabó La Fiesta13%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Adelante Andalucía: 73% on Oct 24, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 8, 9 PM ETAdelante Andalucía: 84% → 89%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Adelante Andalucía 95% ▲ 3 93¢ 97¢ $1.03 519
Coalición Canaria 82% ▼ 13 78¢ 85¢ $1.18 921
Podemos 75% ▲ 7 72¢ 77¢ $1.30 6.4K
Se Acabó La Fiesta 13% ▼ 2 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Spain's Congress, Adelante Andalucía, Coalición Canaria

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions