Who will be a part of the next government of Spain? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 1, 2028 · $2.1K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

87%People's Party
  • People's Party87%▲ 1
  • Vox84%▲ 1
  • PSOE16%
  • Frente Amplio9%
  • Podemos8%
  • United Left8%
  • Comuns8%
  • Más Madrid7%
  • Republican Left of Catalonia5%
  • EH Bildu5%
  • Junts per Catalunya4%
  • Basque Nationalist Party4%

How the odds have moved

People's Party: 85% on Oct 20, 87% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
People's Party 87% ▲ 1 83¢ 90¢ $1.11 67.00
Vox 84% ▲ 1 80¢ 87¢ $1.15 2.1K
PSOE 16% 12¢ 19¢ $5.26 37.00
Frente Amplio 9% 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 2.4K
Podemos 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33
United Left 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33
Comuns 8% 4¢ 11¢ $9.09
Más Madrid 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09
Republican Left of Catalonia 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
EH Bildu 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Junts per Catalunya 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Basque Nationalist Party 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Spain, People's Party

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions