The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
At least 22,000,000
97%
95¢
99¢
$1.01
At least 22,500,000
97%
95¢
99¢
$1.01
At least 23,000,000
96%
93¢
99¢
$1.01
At least 23,500,000
96%
93¢
99¢
$1.01
At least 24,000,000
96%
93¢
99¢
$1.01
At least 24,500,000
94%
89¢
98¢
$1.02
At least 25,000,000
88%
84¢
92¢
$1.09
200
At least 25,500,000
73%
70¢
76¢
$1.32
6.8K
At least 26,000,000
63%
▲ 1
59¢
66¢
$1.52
413
At least 26,500,000
46%
▲ 1
43¢
48¢
$2.08
268
At least 27,000,000
30%
▲ 1
27¢
33¢
$3.03
200
At least 27,500,000
19%
15¢
23¢
$4.35
6.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions