Taipei mayoral election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28, 2027 · $9K today · $377K traded · $248K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

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The odds

65%Chiang Wan-an
  • Chiang Wan-an65%▼ 1
  • Shen Bo-yang35%
  • Kuo Hsi<1%
  • Hsiao Wen-kan<1%
  • Tang Hsin-min<1%
  • Lin Chih-cheng<1%

How the odds have moved

Chiang Wan-an: 58% on Oct 20, 65% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Chiang Wan-an 65% ▼ 1 65¢ 66¢ $1.52 239.8K
Shen Bo-yang 35% 35¢ 36¢ $2.78 618.6K
Kuo Hsi <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
Hsiao Wen-kan <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
Tang Hsin-min <1% 1¢ $100.00 175
Lin Chih-cheng <1% 1¢ $100.00 175

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Taipei, Chiang Wan-an, Shen Bo-yang

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  • 2026 Elections: Taipei mayoral rivals step up campaigns; back allies in Kaohsiung台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an’s (蔣萬安) campaign called on supporters yesterday to join a Nov. 14 march and rally, while Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Puma Shen (沈伯洋) led a campaign motorcade through two Taipei districts. The…
  • Taipei mayor race a victory for democracy whoever wins: Shen台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei’s mayoral election on Nov. 28 will be a victory for democracy in the face of pressure from China whoever wins, said the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidate who Beijing detests as a “separatist.” The DPP’s Puma Shen (沈伯洋)…
  • Taipei mayor election is a victory for democracy over China whoever wins, says candidateDevdiscourse · 4 days agoTaipei's mayoral election this month will be a victory for democracy in the face of pressure from China whoever wins, said the ruling party's candidate who Beijing detests as a "separatist". The Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) Puma…
  • What Does the Taipei Mayoral Debate Tell Us?New Bloom Magazine · 5 days agoThe Taipei mayoral debate occurred on October 31st, after much discussion ahead of time about whether Taipei mayor Chiang Wan-an would be willing to participate. The Shen campaign clamored for a debate, seeing as Shen’s strengths were seen…
  • EDITORIAL CARTOON台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages Taiwan, Japan might sign comprehensive trade pact: report Investigators seize boats in probe into aide’s escape Taiwan to…
  • Taipei Gay Bar Raid: When a Queer Safe Haven Is PolicedGaysi · 5 days agoOn 3 October 2026, police raided Commander D, a BDSM gay bar in Taipei’s Ximending, detaining 51 people. A reflection on what safety really means for queer people, from Taipei to South Asia, once the rainbow flags come down. The fact that…
  • Friendly toast台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages President William Lai, right, and Marshall Islands Legislative Speaker Brenson Wase, left, raise their mugs during their…
  • US cites China in PNG closure of Taiwan site - Taipei Timestaipeitimes.com · 2 days agoThe US government has expressed concern over the closure of Taiwan’s representative office in Papua New Guinea (PNG) under pressure from the PNG government, saying that the incident is another example of Beijing’s intimidation of Taiwan…
  • Taipei 101: Learning to move with the windDaily Tribune · 3 days agoTAIPEI 101 lights up the night sky in Taiwan’s capital. TAIPEI, Taiwan — The first thing one notices about Taipei 101 is its height. At 508 meters, it rises above the city’s financial district, its stacked sections narrowing toward the sky…
  • PLA may be simulating Taiwan isolation: report - Taipei Timestaipeitimes.com · 3 days agoChina might be conducting a major, unannounced military exercise simulating the isolation of Taiwan that is larger than the Chinese People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) “Justice Mission 2025” exercise, the American Enterprise Institute and the…
  • Night market rally台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages Jane Shih, left, wife of Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an, and Tsai Pi-yun, right, wife of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) New…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions