Democratic Progressive Party: 75% on Oct 19, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic Progressive Party
73%
▼ 1
69¢
77¢
$1.30
38.00
Kuomintang
25%
20¢
29¢
$3.45
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
China denies Taiwan’s claim it orchestrated attack on comedian who mocked Xi JinpingNBC News · 13 days agoTaiwan is “provoking confrontation” and stirring anti-China sentiment, a Chinese government spokesperson said on Wednesday, after Taiwanese prosecutors indicted five people for plotting to attack a Taiwanese comedian whose shows mocked…
Mainland calls on Taiwan entertainers to embrace Chinese identity@ChinaDailyApp · 13 days agoA Chinese mainland spokesman on Wednesday called on entertainers in Taiwan to take pride in their Chinese identity and contribute to closer ties and greater exchanges between people across the Taiwan Strait. Chen Binhua, spokesman for the…
China dismisses Taiwan’s accusations of involvement in attack on comedianTimesLIVE · 13 days agoTaiwan is “provoking confrontation” and stirring anti-China sentiment, a Chinese government spokesperson said on Wednesday, after Taiwanese prosecutors indicted five people for allegedly plotting to attack a Taiwanese comedian whose shows…
China dismisses Taiwan’s accusations of involvement in comedian attackfreedom959.net · 13 days agoBEIJING, Oct 28 (Reuters) – Taiwan is “provoking confrontation” and stirring anti-China sentiment, a Chinese government spokesperson said on Wednesday, after Taiwanese prosecutors indicted five people for plotting to attack a Taiwanese…
China accused of intimidation campaign to isolate Taiwan politicianDevdiscourse · 14 days agoChina is facing allegations of attempting to politically isolate Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) legislator and Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen by pressuring celebrities, businesses and professional associates linked to him. China…
It’s Not Just Taiwan: China Plots Indian Land Grab@FreeBeacon · 10 days agoSo much of Washington's attention is concentrated on Taiwan that Americans sometimes forget China picks fights with nearly all of its other neighbors too. Beijing's claims to the South China Sea and various islands owned by our allies…
Mainland condemns DPP's use of public funds for US observers at Taiwan drills@ChinaDailyApp · 13 days agoA Chinese mainland spokesman on Wednesday condemned the Democratic Progressive Party authorities for spending public funds to invite US personnel to observe Taiwan's military drills, emphasizing that the Taiwan question does not tolerate…
Taiwan tracks 8 Chinese ships, 6 military aircrafttaiwannews.com.tw · 11 days agoTaiwan sends aircraft and naval vessels, deploys missile systems Oct. 30, 2026 10:13 TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — The Ministry of National Defense tracked seven Chinese naval vessels, one official ship, and six military aircraft between 6 a.m…
Taiwan: China behind Pakistan airspace closureThe Manila Times · 11 days agoTAIPEI — Pakistan briefly closed its airspace to Taiwanese cargo and passenger flights, Taiwan said Thursday, suspecting China of being behind the unprecedented move. “We suspect definitely China was behind this,” Deputy Foreign Minister…
7 Kurdish parties in Rojava object to election results, calling for dialogue and unityANF News · 10 days ago7 parties in Rojava expressed their objections to the results of People’s Council elections in Hesekê and Kobanê, emphasizing that the participation of certain political forces in the process further deepened fragmentation and division in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions