Will the Senate pass legislation using a talking filibuster? (Before Jan 1, 2030)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Dec 31, 2029 · $122 today · $122 traded · $122 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

35%Before Jan 1, 2030
  • Before Jan 1, 20273%▼ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202720%▲ 14
  • Before Jan 1, 202824%▲ 14
  • Before Jan 1, 202928%▲ 16
  • Before Jan 1, 203035%▲ 14

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 4% on Nov 11, 3% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33
Before Jul 1, 2027 20% ▲ 14 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 100
Before Jan 1, 2028 24% ▲ 14 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 200
Before Jan 1, 2029 28% ▲ 16 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 200
Before Jan 1, 2030 35% ▲ 14 34¢ 35¢ $2.86

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Senate

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  • Democrat FLIPS Mississippi Senate seatFox News · 25 h agoto topcloseVideoPrimary PoliticsNovember 12, 2026:44CLIPDemocrat FLIPS Mississippi Senate seat Democrat Scott Colom has defeated Republican incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi's closely contested Senate race, marking the first…
  • Mississippi reacts after Scott Colom wins Senate raceCBS News · 14 h agoWatch CBS News Mississippi reacts after Colom wins Senate race CBS news projects that Scott Colom has won the Mississippi Senate race after a razor tight battle with Cindy Hyde-Smith. CBS News' Mark Strassmann reports. 6m ago (02:03)…
  • Democrat wins Mississippi Senate raceNBC News · 38 h agoNightly News Pope Leo arrives in Peru
  • Democrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate raceNPR · 29 h agoPolitics Democrat Scott Colom wins Mississippi Senate race November 12, 20264:32 AM ET By Elise Catrion Gregg , A Martínez Scott Colom has won the U.S. Senate race in Mississippi. After a very close race, he's the first Black man to…
  • Senate leadership showdown could fracture Democratic post-election unityCNN · 9 h agoThe US Capitol building is seen at sunset on November 6, 2026, in Washington, DC. Kevin Carter/Getty Images See all topics A Democratic leadership tilt between a 70-something Chuck and a 60-something Chris hardly screams of the…
  • Mississippi goes blue after highly contested Senate battleCBS News · 22 h agoWatch CBS News Democrat wins Mississippi Senate race Democrat Scott Colom is projected to win Mississippi after a lengthy Senate battle. Mark Strassmann reports. 58m ago (02:28) Videos View CBS News In CBS News App Open Chrome Safari…
  • Ex-Nvidia boss asked to testify to SenateBBC · 22 h agoEpisode details World Service,13 Nov 2026,49 mins Ex-Nvidia boss asked to testify to Senate NewsdayAvailable for 29 days Nvidia's founder, Jensen Huang, and his close associate in the Trump administration, the Commerce Secretary, Howard…
  • How Polls, Forecasts Got Mississippi Senate Race So WrongNewsweek · 18 h agoLoading video...By Sam StevensonAssociate News Editor Newsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Democrat Scott Colom pulled off a huge upset in…
  • Chuck Schumer 'confident' he will be elected Senate majority leaderFox News · 20 h agoto topcloseVideoOn AirNovember 12, 20262:58CLIPChuck Schumer 'confident' he will be elected Senate majority leader Fox News' Chad Pergram reports the latest on Democratic Party fractures post-midterms. Chief congressional correspondent…
  • Mississippi makes history with Democrat senate win - The Latestthe Guardian · 20 h ago00:00:0000:00:00Mississippi makes history with Democrat senate win - The Latest Mississippi has elected the Democrat Scott Colom in a historic race in the traditionally deep-red state, making him its first Black senator since shortly after…
  • Van Hollen announces challenge to Schumer to lead the SenateThe Washington Post · 10 h agoBy Erin Cox and Theodoric MeyerSen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Maryland) said Thursday that he is challenging Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-New York) to be majority leader in the next Congress, triggering an internal power struggle barely a week after…
  • Closest Senate Races in History as Scott Colom Clinches VictoryNewsweek · 17 h agoLoading video...By Aliss HighamReporter Newsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Democrat Scott Colom has won Mississippi's U.S. Senate race by a…

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

61%Export-control chip security
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27 more
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  • Credit-card routing competition4%▼ 1
  • Smithsonian Women’s History Museum4%▲ 1
  • White House ballroom funding4%
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  • SHOWER Act3%
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KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $4.3K today

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