Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
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Will Tucker Carlson form a third party? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
24%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
- Before Jul 1, 202720%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202824%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% on Oct 19, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 30, 4 PM ETBefore Jan 1, 2027: 14% → 9%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.6K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 20% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 8.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 24% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 30.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tucker Carlson
Search ›- Tucker Carlson blasts Trump, praises Vance | CNN PoliticsTucker Carlson, who broke with President Trump over the Iran war, is weighing in on a difficult week for Republicans. CNN's Donie O'Sullivan reports. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth posted a defiant video on social media Thursday amid…
- Tucker Carlson: Demon HunterDemons and the supernatural mentioned at least 644 times on Tucker Carlson’s show Written by Gideon Taaffe, Noah VanDowe & Hanne MacDonald Research contributions from Kayla Gogarty & Jack Wheatley Published 10/31/26 1:54 AM EDT Media…
- Tucker Carlson sparks outrage with new ‘Final Solution for Jews' bookTucker Carlson is putting his own name, publishing company and personal endorsement behind a book whose title invokes the Nazi terminology used to describe the extermination of six million Jews. Tucker Carlson is preparing to publish a…
- Tucker Carlson’s 4-Word Reaction to Donald Trump’s Midterm Loss Raises EyebrowsHome » Tucker Carlson’s 4-Word Reaction to Donald Trump’s Midterm Loss Raises Eyebrows Tucker Carlson broke his silence on the GOP’s midterm bloodbath with a brutal four-word verdict that stunned even his own audience. The ex-Fox News host…
- On Tucker Carlson: The importance of reasoned discourse in an age of denialismThe Bucknellian On Tucker Carlson: The importance of reasoned discourse in an age of denialism Following far right and former Fox News anchor Tucker Carlson’s interview with the online commentator Daryl Cooper in September 2024, historians…
- Tucker Carlson says Iran conflict has bankrupted United StatesAccording to the journalist, because of the war with Iran and involvement in other conflicts in the Middle East, the US was forced to "borrow trillions of dollars" - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section…
- Tucker Carlson's Big ProblemTucker Carlson and other A-Millennials think the meaning of God’s Word is open to sinful human interpretation. So when they quote scripture, they arbitrarily force-fit its meaning to fit a predetermined false doctrine dubbed…
- ‘End Of Trump Era’: Tucker Carlson Says Democrats’ Midterm Win Signals Political Shift in USUS President Donald Trump’s political clout and dominance of Fox News may soon come to an end, according to conservative political commentator Tucker Carlson, after the Democratic Party’s decisive win in the 2026 US midterm elections…
- Tucker Carlson says Trump era is over - and with it Fox NewsCarlson called the midterm elections ‘the biggest blowout of our lifetimes’ and ‘a collective howl of pain’ Tucker Carlson declared the era of President Donald Trump — and Fox News — officially over, following the midterm elections which…
- Tucker Carlson blames Iran war for Republican losses, calls it ‘end of the Trump era’ and Fox NewsConservative commentator Tucker Carlson has declared that the political dominance of US President Donald Trump, along with the influence of Fox News, may be coming to an end following a major Democratic victory in the midterm elections…
- Tucker Carlson: ‘Fox News Era’ Over After 2026 Midterm Election Defeat for RepublicansGarrett Searight is Barrett Media's News Editor, which includes writing daily news stories, features, and opinion columns. He joined Barrett Media in 2022 after a decade leading several radio brands in several formats, as well as a 5-year…
- Tucker Carlson Marks The 'End Of The Trump Era' In Devastating Midterms PostmortemThe balance of power may be changing, but our job isn't. No matter who's in charge, democracy depends on a free press willing to ask hard questions, challenge authority and follow the facts. Help power that reporting. The ex-MAGA loyalist…
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- Larry Page8%▲ 3
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions