Mexico unemployment rate in October (Mexico UE Oct 2026)
2.61%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.61%
Install
Germany unemployment rate in November (Germany UE Nov 2026)
The odds
6.36%median
5.8%6.9%
Median 6.36%Middle half 6.32% – 6.43%
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.4% on Oct 31, 6.36% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.9% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 6.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 6.1% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 6.2% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| Above 6.3% | 83% | 78¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 56.00 | |
| Above 6.4% | 31% | ▼ 2 | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 505 |
| Above 6.5% | 12% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| Above 6.6% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Above 6.7% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Above 6.8% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
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Related markets
All jobs ›Russia unemployment rate in October (Russia UE Oct 2026)
2.2%median
1.8%2.6%
Median 2.2%Middle half 2.13% – 2.27%
Canada unemployment rate in November (Canada UE Nov 2026)
6.64%median
6.1%7.2%
Median 6.64%Middle half 6.52% – 6.77%
Australia unemployment rate in October (Australia UE 2026)
4.73%median
4.2%5.3%
Median 4.73%Middle half 4.62% – 4.85%
China unemployment rate in October (China UE Oct 2026)
5.07%median
4.5%5.7%
Median 5.07%Middle half 5.03% – 5.13%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 (South Africa UE Q3 2026)
33.29%median
30.5%35.5%
Median 33.29%Middle half 32.68% – 33.86%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions