China unemployment rate in October (China UE Oct 2026)
5.07%median
4.5%5.7%
Median 5.07%Middle half 5.03% – 5.13%
Install
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 (South Africa UE Q3 2026)
The odds
33.29%median
30.5%35.5%
Median 33.29%Middle half 32.68% – 33.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 32.55% on Oct 9, 33.29% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 31.0% | 97% | ▲ 5 | 93¢ | $1.04 | 460 | |
| Above 31.5% | 97% | ▲ 6 | 93¢ | $1.04 | 1.5K | |
| Above 32.0% | 86% | 35¢ | $1.16 | 734 | ||
| Above 32.5% | 80% | 30¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 2.2K | |
| Above 33.0% | 66% | 7¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 515 | |
| Above 33.5% | 38% | ▲ 5 | 5¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 449 |
| Above 34.0% | 20% | ▼ 3 | 6¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.4K |
| Above 34.5% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 2.9K |
| Above 35.0% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 24.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment fallsFox Business Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment falls 'The Big Money Show' panel breaks down the October jobs report showing 165,000 jobs were added as the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%. 'The Big Money Show' panel…
- October jobs report exceeds expectationsFox News October jobs report exceeds expectations FOX Business' Edward Lawrence reports on October jobs report and the market reaction to Democrats' midterm wins. Wall Street reacts as the October jobs report reveals 165,000 jobs were…
- Experts react to the October jobs reportCNBC Experts react to the October jobs report
- Crossmark Global's Bob Doll on jobs report: The economy is in good shapeCNBC Crossmark Global's Bob Doll on jobs report: The economy is in good shape
- San Francisco Fed president on jobs report: This is good news for American workersCNBC San Francisco Fed president on jobs report: This is good news for American workers
- October jobs report beats expectations, Christina Skinner analyzes AI productivity and market trendsFox Business October jobs report beats expectations, Christina Skinner analyzes AI productivity and market trends Former Trump Treasury official and Wharton School professor Christina Skinner discusses the October jobs report, AI's impact…
- October jobs report suggests economy is healthy, says former Minneapolis Fed president Gary SternCNBC October jobs report suggests economy is healthy, says former Minneapolis Fed president Gary Stern
- October jobs report shows strong positive labor market trends, Josh Schafer saysOctober jobs report data indicates strong labor market gains as Josh Schafer analyzes rising wages and steady unemployment. He points to job openings reaching seven point five million as a key indicator of economic strength. These trends…
- Holiday hiring and AI in focus with October jobs report on deckA lukewarm job market may have gained some steam last month, as companies began hiring workers for the holiday season, although slowing wage growth and the impact of AI remain big concerns. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release…
- Judge halts construction of Trump's arch. And, Labor Department to release jobs reportStocks sank as investors fear an incoming Democratic Congress — and states across the country — could crack down on the AI industry and data centers. TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images/AFP hide caption Healthy or Hype? is an NPR series…
- October Jobs Report Crushes Economists’ Expectations: New Jobs More Than Double Projection, Unemployment DropsNew economic data published on Friday showed that the economy wildly outperformed the forecasts of experts. The data showed that the U.S. economy added 165,000 jobs in October while unemployment dropped to 4.1 percent, as reported by The…
- Blockbuster U.S. jobs report shows 165,000 payrolls added in October as unemployment falls to 4.1%, supporting outlook for Apple and consumer spendingThe U.S. economy delivered a blockbuster jobs report for October, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 165,000 — more than double economists’ expectations of around 65,000 — while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% from 4.2%. The Labor…
Related markets
All jobs ›Australia unemployment rate in October (Australia UE 2026)
4.73%median
4.2%5.3%
Median 4.73%Middle half 4.62% – 4.85%
Mexico unemployment rate in October (Mexico UE Oct 2026)
2.61%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.61%
Germany unemployment rate in November (Germany UE Nov 2026)
6.36%median
5.8%6.9%
Median 6.36%Middle half 6.32% – 6.43%
Russia unemployment rate in October (Russia UE Oct 2026)
2.2%median
1.8%2.6%
Median 2.2%Middle half 2.13% – 2.27%
Canada unemployment rate in November (Canada UE Nov 2026)
6.64%median
6.1%7.2%
Median 6.64%Middle half 6.52% – 6.77%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions