Canada unemployment rate in November (Canada UE Nov 2026)
6.63%median
6.1%7.2%
Median 6.63%Middle half 6.51% – 6.77%
Install
Russia unemployment rate in October (Russia UE Oct 2026)
The odds
2.2%median
1.8%2.6%
Median 2.2%Middle half 2.13% – 2.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.2% on Oct 29, 2.2% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.9% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 2.0% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 2.1% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 6.00 |
| Above 2.2% | 49% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 36.00 | |
| Above 2.3% | 16% | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| Above 2.4% | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| Above 2.5% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment fallsFox Business Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment falls 'The Big Money Show' panel breaks down the October jobs report showing 165,000 jobs were added as the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%. 'The Big Money Show' panel…
- October jobs report exceeds expectationsFox News October jobs report exceeds expectations FOX Business' Edward Lawrence reports on October jobs report and the market reaction to Democrats' midterm wins. Wall Street reacts as the October jobs report reveals 165,000 jobs were…
- October jobs report suggests economy is healthy, says former Minneapolis Fed president Gary SternCNBC October jobs report suggests economy is healthy, says former Minneapolis Fed president Gary Stern
- San Francisco Fed president on jobs report: This is good news for American workersCNBC San Francisco Fed president on jobs report: This is good news for American workers
- October jobs report shows strong positive labor market trends, Josh Schafer saysOctober jobs report data indicates strong labor market gains as Josh Schafer analyzes rising wages and steady unemployment. He points to job openings reaching seven point five million as a key indicator of economic strength. These trends…
- Holiday hiring and AI in focus with October jobs report on deckA lukewarm job market may have gained some steam last month, as companies began hiring workers for the holiday season, although slowing wage growth and the impact of AI remain big concerns. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release…
- The midterms controlled today, Friday we will be talking about the jobs report, says Jim CramerCNBC The midterms controlled today, Friday we will be talking about the jobs report, says Jim Cramer
- The October jobs report is out Friday. Here's everything to expectThe U.S. economy isn't expected to have produced much job growth in October, with employers reluctant to hire workers but also not cutting staff amid a shrinking labor force and a growing problem of long-term unemployment. Economists are…
- Judge halts construction of Trump's arch. And, Labor Department to release jobs reportStocks sank as investors fear an incoming Democratic Congress — and states across the country — could crack down on the AI industry and data centers. TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images/AFP hide caption Healthy or Hype? is an NPR series…
- Blockbuster U.S. jobs report shows 165,000 payrolls added in October as unemployment falls to 4.1%, supporting outlook for Apple and consumer spendingThe U.S. economy delivered a blockbuster jobs report for October, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 165,000 — more than double economists’ expectations of around 65,000 — while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% from 4.2%. The Labor…
- October Jobs Report: US Adds 165,000 Jobs as Unemployment Falls Slightly to 4.1%U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increased by 165,000 in October, after the September figure was revised up from 29,000 to 60,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) October 2026 Employment Situation report. The unemployment…
- October Jobs Report Smashes ExpectationsHere's what they're saying: Edward Jones Senior Global Strategist Angelo Kourkafas: "This was a blowout jobs report. Payroll growth exceeded expectations, revisions were positive, the unemployment rate fell, participation improved, and…
Related markets
All jobs ›Germany unemployment rate in November (Germany UE Nov 2026)
6.36%median
5.8%6.9%
Median 6.36%Middle half 6.32% – 6.43%
Mexico unemployment rate in October (Mexico UE Oct 2026)
2.61%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.61%
Australia unemployment rate in October (Australia UE 2026)
4.73%median
4.2%5.3%
Median 4.73%Middle half 4.62% – 4.85%
China unemployment rate in October (China UE Oct 2026)
5.07%median
4.5%5.7%
Median 5.07%Middle half 5.03% – 5.13%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 (South Africa UE Q3 2026)
33.3%median
30.5%35.5%
Median 33.3%Middle half 32.98% – 33.91%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions