Predictions › Elections › Around the world In what year will the next UK general election be held? (Before Jan 1, 2030) Kalshi Elections › Around the worldCloses Dec 31, 2029 · $216 traded · $115 at stake · prices read 2 h ago
Follow Share Embed % US Dec
2,026 2,030
Median 2,029 Middle half 2,028 – 2,029
Median: 2,029 on Oct 19, 2,029 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Marine Le Pen 45% David Lisnard 14% ▼ 1 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% 43 more Édouard Philippe 9% ▲ 1 Christine Lagarde 6% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 3% Raphaël Glucksmann 2% Jordan Bardella 2% Dominique de Villepin 2% François Hollande 2% Bruno Retailleau 1% Gabriel Attal <1% Éric Zemmour <1% Sarah Knafo <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% François Baroin <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% François Ruffin <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Jean Castex <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1% Gadi Eizenkot 64% ▼ 1 Benjamin Netanyahu 24% ▲ 3 Avigdor Lieberman 6% ▼ 1 19 more Naftali Bennett 3% Amir Ohana <1% Yair Lapid <1% Benny Gantz <1% Yossi Cohen <1% Yair Golan <1% Itamar Ben Gvir <1% Gideon Sa’ar <1% Yariv Levin <1% Yoaz Hendel <1% Israel Katz <1% Gilad Erdan <1% Aviv Kohavi <1% Eli Cohen <1% Moshe Feiglin <1% Ayelet Shaked <1% Nir Barkat <1% Ofer Winter <1% Daniel Hagari <1% Luca Niculescu >99% ▲ 5 Mugur Isărescu <1% Mircea Geoană <1% 35 more Anca Dragu <1% Lucian Isar <1% Cătălin Predoiu <1% Sorin Grindeanu <1% George Simion <1% Ilie Bolojan <1% Marcel Ciolacu <1% Alexandru Rafila <1% Sebastian Burduja <1% Ionuț Dumitru <1% Elena Lasconi <1% Cătălin Drulă <1% Vasile Dîncu <1% Dacian Cioloș <1% Emil Boc <1% Dominic Fritz <1% Raluca Turcan <1% Lucian Croitoru <1% Delia Velculescu <1% Nicolae Ciucă <1% Hunor Kelemen <1% Calin Georgescu <1% Radu Burnete <1% Șerban Matei <1% Alexandru Nazare <1% Alexandru Rogobete <1% Dragoș Pîslaru <1% Traian Basescu <1% Dan Motreanu <1% Victor Ponta <1% Ciprian Ciucu <1% Eugen Tomac <1% Siegfried Mureșan <1% Adrian Veștea <1% Leonardo Badea <1% November 30, 2026 99% December 31, 2026 >99% March 31, 2027 >99% Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 57% ▼ 7 Lula, Netanyahu, Dems 19% ▲ 5 Lula, Bennett, Dems 1% ▲ 1 9 more Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 11 Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 11 Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems <1% ▼ 12 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems <1% ▼ 41 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems <1% ▼ 3 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps <1% Lula, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Bennett, Reps <1% ▼ 7 National Party 98% Labour Party 2% Green Party <1% 3 more ACT New Zealand <1% New Zealand First Party <1% Te Pāti Māori <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on The New York Times, Associated Press, Bloomberg News
Trading closes Dec 31, 2029 11:59 PM ET
Traded $216 (4,440 contracts)
This week $24
At stake $115
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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