Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
10%
7¢
12¢
$8.33
925
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, U.S. and Iran, China-mediated U.S.-Iran
Oil prices fall amid reports that the U.S. and Iran are both seeking diplomacyCNBC · 8 days agoOil fell Monday amid news that both the U.S. and Iran seek diplomatic options to their conflict. Futures for international benchmark Brent crude for January delivery fell 3.31% to $109.67 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for…
Israel Warns U.S. Of Iranian Chemical Threat As Trump Moves To Cut AidAOL.com · 6 days agoIsraeli intelligence officials warned the United States on Tuesday that Iran may be preparing to deploy chemical weapons against its regional adversaries, a disclosure that arrived the same day President Donald Trump announced plans to…
Israel Reportedly Told U.S. That Iran Is Weighing Use of Chemical WeaponsHaaretz · 6 days agoU.S. intelligence agencies have long tracked Iran's chemical-weapons research, but officials remain divided over whether Tehran would ever use such weapons. Israel has also shared its assessments with Gulf states, which were met with…
Oil Prices Plunge 7% as U.S. and Iran Signal Room for DiplomacyOilPrice.com · 7 days agoData center equipment stocks have… Diesel prices could remain above… Oil prices plunged nearly 7% on Monday after Washington and Tehran both signaled they would give diplomacy a chance, wiping out part of the war premium that lifted crude…
Oil Prices Drop After U.S. And Iranian Officials Signal DiplomacyBriefs Finance · 7 days agoOil sold off as diplomatic talk took some heat out of war-risk pricing. Brent, the global benchmark, was down 6.4% to $106.20 a barrel at 9:50 a.m. ET, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 6.5% to $97.35. Later quote screens showed ICE…
Oil prices climb after U.S. reportedly strikes Iran's Qeshm IslandCNBC · 7 days agoOil prices climbed on Tuesday after the U.S. reportedly struck Iran's Qeshm Island late Monday, one day before the midterm elections. Brent crude was up 0.97% on Tuesday at $105.77 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate was up 0.97% to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions