Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
71%
▲ 1
67¢
74¢
$1.35
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sánchez Trails Feijóo by 7 Points in PollsThe Rio Times · 12 days agoSpain heads into its 29 November general election with the conservative Partido Popular (PP) ahead in most polls and in prediction markets. Our Spain Election 2026 hub tracks every development. This story is part of our coverage of the…
Spain’s Conservatives and Populists Are Negotiating an Electoral Pact.The National Pulse · 14 days agoSpain’s 2026 snap general election campaign is underway, and the country’s right-leaning parties are finalizing an electoral pact that could inspire further cooperation between national populists and the center-right across Europe. The…
Spain’s Right Holds Poll Lead, Left SplitsThe Rio Times · 14 days agoSpain’s right-wing parties are still heading for a majority, while the Socialist government wins back a little ground but finds no way to win. Sigma Dos, a leading Spanish polling firm, puts the People’s Party (PP) and the Vox party at 191…
Spain’s Election Candidate Lists Due MondayThe Rio Times · 14 days agoSpain’s election campaign has not even begun, yet its parties are already racing the clock. They have until 11:59 p.m. Madrid time on Monday, 26 October (6:59 p.m. ET), to register candidates for the 29 November vote, as our Spain Election…
PP and Vox Seek Pact to Block Sánchez’s Allies From Controlling Spain’s SenateGround News · 17 days agoSpain’s next general election could reshape the balance of power in the Senate, with the PP and Vox now discussing […] PP and Vox Seek Pact to Block Sánchez’s Allies From Controlling Spain’s Senate The parties are weighing candidate…
Spain’s New Parliament Meets December 23The Rio Times · 16 days agoSpain’s new parliament will meet for the first time on 23 December 2026, 24 days after the Spain Election 2026 vote on 29 November. The session opens at 10:00 in Madrid (4:00 a.m. ET), according to the Royal Decree that called the…
Spain’s Prime Minister Vows Abortion ShieldThe Rio Times · 16 days agoThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain election 2026. The live odds, the polls and every report on the 29 November vote are in our Spain election 2026 dossier. This story is part of our coverage of the Europe political crisis. Why…
The PSOE, very close to taking eleven seats from the right (and to losing a few, too)Ara in English · 16 days agoAs happened three years ago, the right-wing bloc starts with an advantage in the general election race. There is approximately one month left until the elections, and the average for the PP and Vox is situated above 190 seats, comfortably…
Spain’s Right Loses Ground in Latest PollThe Rio Times · 17 days agoThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain Election 2026. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Spain's Right Eyes Senate Deal Before Vote The conservative People’s Party (PP) led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo has lost…
Sánchez Charges Feijóo for His Plans on Equality and...Ground News · 17 days agoThe president of the government, Pedro Sánchez, has charged against the leader of the Popular Party, Alberto Núñez... The popular leader confirms that he will agree with the formation of Abascal if he needs his votes and proposes changes…
Does the price of housing rise more with Isabel Díaz Ayuso than with Salvador Illa?Ara in English · 18 days agoPedro Sánchez ensures that rent grows less in Catalonia, where state regulation is applied, than in the Community of Madrid, where the PP government rejects the caps Pedro Sánchez visited this ThursdayLa revuelta by David Broncano in an…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions