Install
New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.4% on Oct 20, 83.08% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 78% | 83% | $1.20 | 300 | |||
| At least 80% | 83% | $1.20 | 225 | |||
| At least 81% | 65% | 85¢ | $1.18 | 14.00 | ||
| At least 82% | 62% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 83% | 52% | $1.92 | 400 | |||
| At least 84% | 27% | $3.70 | 200 | |||
| At least 86% | 5% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 200 | ||
| At least 88% | 5% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 90% | 2% | 38¢ | $2.63 | 7.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York County, New York, Kathy Hochul
Search ›- Kathy Hochul on Trump, Mamdani and the Future of New YorkIn a wide-ranging interview, New York’s governor discusses her next steps and the forces reshaping her state and party. Jonathan Martin is POLITICO’s senior political columnist and politics bureau chief. He’s covered elections in every…
- Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York…
- New York’s Kathy Hochul ranked worst governor in US as part of scathing new studyGov. Kathy Hochul was ranked the worst state leader in the US for protecting constituents’ freedoms, a scathing new study found. Hochul ranked No. 50 in the Cato’s Institute’s 2026 “Freedom in the 50 States” list, scoring an “F” and…
- Rep. Elise Stefanik announces run for New York governor, potentially challenging Kathy Hochul in 2026 electionUpdated on: November 7, 2025 / 7:35 PM EST / CBS New York Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik announced she is running for governor of New York early Friday morning, after months of hinting that she might challenge Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul…
- Haters hunt NYC’s Jews — and Kathy Hochul couldn’t care lessLast week a notorious group of pro-Palestine activists set its sights on Riverdale in The Bronx, as it publicized plans to march on a Saturday-night meeting for Jewish families considering buying a home in Israel. The group, Pal-Awda…
- Michael Goodwin: Bruce Blakeman says he’ll ‘shock the world’ and kick Kathy Hochul out of AlbanyThe most important question of the week comes from the Wall Street Journal editorial board. As usual, its headline gets straight to the point, asking, “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” I winced, yet dared to hope the writers had found…
- Blue states like New York might dash Democrats’ Blue Wave dreamsCould blue states like New York turn out to be the seawall standing in the way of this year’s much-anticipated Blue Wave? It’s not just a pipe dream. The paradox is this: Nationally, polls show voters are dissatisfied with the…
- New York’s 2026 governor race: Letters to the Editor — Oct. 27, 2026My prayer for New Yorkers is that they can look past their partisan leanings and simply vote for the best governor (“A needed Blake from Kat’s mess,” Michael Goodwin, Oct. 25). New York is true-blue state, but if enough residents can’t…
- Blakeman Blasts Hochul As Mamdani's 'Puppet' During New York Campaign Rally-6adeb19ab86f6e7fa97ea544-100-0.mp4Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Blakeman Blasts Hochul As…
- Bruce Blakeman Calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani’s ‘Puppet’ at NY RallyBruce Blakeman attacked New York Gov. Kathy Hochul during a campaign rally, calling her a "puppet" of Zohran Mamdani. The Republican gubernatorial candidate criticized her partnership with New York City's mayor. His remarks focused on…
- Kathy Hochul Already Eyeing a Third TermJonathan Martin: “Hochul knows her history and, should she win next week, she told me she intends to seek a full third term as governor in 2030. If she prevails, she’ll match the likes of Rockefeller, Dewey and Cuomo. Mario, that is.” 2026…
- Hochul, Blakeman campaign across New York as early voting continuesCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |…
Related markets
All elections ›Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions