New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.5K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

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The odds

83.08%median
76%92%
Median 83.08%Middle half 80.44% – 84.18%

How the odds have moved

Median: 82.4% on Oct 20, 83.08% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 78% 83% $1.20 300
At least 80% 83% $1.20 225
At least 81% 65% 85¢ $1.18 14.00
At least 82% 62% 98¢ $1.02 1.2K
At least 83% 52% $1.92 400
At least 84% 27% $3.70 200
At least 86% 5% 99¢ $1.01 200
At least 88% 5% 25¢ $4.00 1.5K
At least 90% 2% 38¢ $2.63 7.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York County, New York, Kathy Hochul

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions