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Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 86.71% on Oct 20, 87.27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 84% | 99% | 75¢ | $1.01 | 251 | ||
| At least 86% | 90% | ▲ 86 | 13¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.0K |
| At least 87% | 65% | 65¢ | $1.54 | 215 | ||
| At least 88% | 10% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.0K | ||
| At least 90% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 92% | 5% | 21¢ | $4.76 | 374 | ||
| At least 94% | 3% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 96% | 3% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 541 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Philadelphia County, Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania
Search ›- Stacy Garrity full interview: Republican looks to unseat Democratic Gov. Josh ShapiroCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Stacy…
- Josh Shapiro’s Midterm Gambit Could Set Him Up for 2028 — Just Don’t Ask If He’s RunningThe famously bipartisan Pennsylvania governor is after a Democratic trifecta in state government. Back in Harrisburg, however, the spirit of bipartisan comity was about to fall apart. Shapiro had backed a school-voucher program he’d…
- Gov. Josh Shapiro made his final stump for congressional candidate Bob Harvie, urging voters to ‘save the republic’The popular Democratic governor told supporters in Doylestown they have the chance to "quite literally reshape what our nation looks like." Shapiro is also seeking a trifecta in Harrisburg. With control of Congress hanging in the balance…
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro vows to stand up to Trump ahead of the midtermsPennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro tells NBC News' Hallie Jackson that voters are "angry" with the "corruption" in Washington, and vows to stand up to President Trump ahead of the midterms elections next week. The governor dodge questions…
- Shapiro favors minimum wage hike if Democrats win back PennsylvaniaGov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA) this week suggested he’ll stay away from pushing progressive priorities in Pennsylvania if Democrats hit a trifecta in the battleground state’s upcoming midterm elections. Democrats currently control the governor’s…
- Exclusive / Shapiro eyes minimum wage hike if Democrats sweep PennsylvaniaREADING, Penn. — Both parties expect Pennsylvania Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro to win re-election next week, and he’s barnstorming his state to give his party a governing trifecta for the first time in 34 years. Shapiro told Semafor that…
- Pennsylvania Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Stacy Garrity Calls for Voters to ‘Choose a New Direction’Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial nominee and state Treasurer Stacy Garrity called for voters to “choose a new direction” in the state’s upcoming gubernatorial election. In a post on X, Garrity pointed out that voters can either…
- "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" guests for Nov. 1, 2026CBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Here are the guests…
- Gov. Shapiro signs law limiting searches by Pennsylvania game wardensBy unanimous votes the state Legislature approved a bill that limits Pennsylvania game wardens to the same regulations police officers abide by when investigating possible crimes on private property. And Gov. Josh Shapiro signed the bill…
- Federal prosecutors announce investigation into Alaska Senate raceFederal prosecutors announced that they are pursuing a criminal probe into the Alaska Senate race, where Democrats are facing allegations of election fraud. Democratic Alaskan Senate candidate Mary Peltola says she knew nothing about…
- What races to watch in Pennsylvania on Election DayThe airwaves, streaming services and your mailbox will be politics-free after voters finish casting their ballots on Tuesday, Nov. 3. With nearly 250 races across Pennsylvania that will determine party control of the governor's office…
- Pope Leo XIV makes history as first pontiff to vote in U.S. electionCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pope Leo…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions