Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
75%At least 64%
54%68%
Install
Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
81%At least 52%
48%56%
How the odds have moved
At least 50%: 78% on Oct 20, 85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETAt least 50%: 85% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 27, 9 PM ETAt least 50%: 74% → 81%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 85% | 17¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 423 | |
| At least 52% | 81% | 13¢ | $1.23 | 3.9K | ||
| At least 54% | 81% | 10¢ | $1.23 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Genesee County, Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan
Search ›- WATCH LIVE: Dem Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds midterm rally in Downriver, MichiganDemocratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed rallies supporters in Downriver, Michigan, to boost voter turnout ahead of the midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Dem Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds midterm rally in Downriver, Michigan Democratic…
- Sen. Bernie Sanders responds to Pres. Trump's attacks on Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-SayedPresident Trump has repeatedly attacked Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed over his Muslim faith. Sen. Bernie Sanders says it signals, "Trump and his Republican allies have nothing significant to say." Sen. Bernie Sanders…
- Trump Voters May Help Abdul El-Sayed Defeat Mike Rogers in MichiganOct 28, 2026 at 04:37 PM EDT Some Michigan voters who helped return President Donald Trump to the White House in 2024 plan to vote for Democrat Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate, a crack in the president's coalition that could matter in a…
- Abdul El-Sayed makes final push to voters in Michigan U.S. Senate raceOctober 28, 2026 / 11:23 PM EDT / CBS Detroit With Election Day approaching, Democratic Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is focusing on direct voter outreach while making health care, foreign policy, and the future of the…
- Rep. Haley Stevens on whether she will vote for Abdul El-SayedDespite not talking with Abdul El-Sayed for months, Democratic Rep Haley Stevens says she will vote for him to be Michigan’s Senator ... Rep. Haley Stevens on whether she will vote for Abdul El-Sayed Despite not talking with Abdul El-Sayed…
- Abdul El-Sayed suggests 'working alongside' Mexican cartels to curtail 'cartel behavior'Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed told "The Moment Podcast" Wednesday what America should do to curtail Mexican drug cartels. Abdul El-Sayed suggests 'working alongside' Mexican cartels to curtail 'cartel behavior'…
- Abdul El-Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers to 7 points in newest Michigan Senate pollOctober 28, 2026 / 5:00 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has increased his polling lead to 7 percentage points over Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman, among likely voters in a nationally watched U.S. Senate race in…
- Actor Mandy Patinkin urges Jewish voters to support Abdul El-Sayed for their own 'safety'Jewish actor Mandy Patinkin released several videos supporting Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed. (Getty Images for National Dance Institute; Sarah Rice/Bloomberg via Getty Images) Actor Mandy Patinkin has posted several…
- Haley Stevens Backs Abdul El-Sayed Despite Fiancé’s Rogers EndorsementOct 28, 2026 at 11:53 PM EDT Oct 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT In a display of party unity in the fiercely contested battle for a U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, former Democratic Senate candidate Haley Stevens said she plans to vote for…
- Rep. Haley Stevens discusses support for Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-SayedMichigan Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens discusses why she has not campaigned alongside Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed during an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union." (Credit: CNN "State of the Union" - Oct. 25) Rep. Haley…
- Could Abdul El-Sayed’s plan for AI companies stave off catastrophe?The Michigan Senate candidate is calling for public ownership and other reforms, offering a potential antidote to ideological gridlock The Michigan senatorial candidate Abdul El-Sayed, a Democrat, occupies a strange but increasingly common…
- Fiancé of Democratic lawmaker who lost to Abdul El-Sayed says he’ll back GOP rivalThe Senate race in Michigan has become so divisive and contentious that the fiancé of Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens said he will not vote for the party’s nominee, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. He predicted Michigan would reject El-Sayed too…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions